000 FZNT23 KNHC 161519 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-162130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY ENTERING WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19.0N 73.7W 1007 MB AT 11 AM EDT MOVING W 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FAY WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND MOVE TO NEAR 19.3N 75.4W THIS EVENING...NEAR 20.0N 77.5W SUN MORNING ....AND NEAR 22.7N 80.6W EARLY MON AS A HURRICANE. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AS FAY MOVES NW TOWARD FLORIDA LATER MON AND TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE AREA ALONG 52W WITH WEAK LOW NEAR 20N53W SHOULD CLIP THE NE PART OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND EARLY MON BEFORE EXITING. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS LATE WED. $$ AMZ082-162130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N E OF 78W... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 19N BETWEEN 76W AND 82W LATE SUN THROUGH MON... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT TONIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT TONIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 82W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT N OF 20N TONIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS DEVELOPING N OF 15N E OF 80W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT W OF 81W AND 8 TO 12 FT E OF 81W BECOMING 8 TO 12 FT AREA WIDE. ELSEWHERE E OF 82W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT N OF 20N BECOMING NW TO N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT N OF 20N BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF FAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 82W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 19N BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. .TUE...N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE TO S 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...S OF 20N E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT N OF 18N. S OF 20N W OF 81W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 20N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-162130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN NIGHT...N OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E TO SE...E OF 78W LATE SUN. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT E OF 78W LATE SUN. S OF 11N VARIABLE MOSTLY N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 79W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 12N W OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TUE AND WED...N OF 12N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT TUE AND 5 TO 8 FT WED. N OF 12N W OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE MOSTLY N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL WED. $$ AMZ086-162130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N W OF 71W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER OF FAY MOVING W OF AREA TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NE QUADRANT. MAX SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 70W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 14N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 16N W OF 68W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 18N W OF 72W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH A FEW SQUALLS WINDWARD PASSAGE DIMINISHING. .MON THROUGH WED...S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E LATE TUE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-162130- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 13N E OF 58W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS S OF 17N LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT S OF 17N. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS S OF 11N. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT S OF 11N. SCATTERED TSTMS FAR NE PART LATE. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 19N E OF 58W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 18N W OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE TO E. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .TUE...N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. FROM 12N TO 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .WED...N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...HIGHEST N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS DEVELOPING NE PART. $$ AMZ088-162130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY ENTERING WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19.0N 73.7W 1007 MB AT 11 AM EDT MOVING W 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FAY WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND MOVE TO NEAR 19.3N 75.4W THIS EVENING...NEAR 20.0N 77.5W SUN MORNING ....NEAR 21.1N 79.3W LATE SUN...AND THEN STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AROUND THE CENTRAL CUBAN COAST NEAR 22.7N 80.6W MON MORNING. FAY WILL MOVE NW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON THEN NEAR THE W COAST OF FLORIDA TUE AND MOVE INLAND OVER N FLORIDA. ELSEWHERE...RIDGE FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL LIFT N TO 31N BY SUN AND REMAIN OVER NORTHERN WATERS E OF FAY THROUGH WED. $$ AMZ080-162130- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 21N W OF 71W... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 29N W OF 77W SUN THROUGH TUE... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT S OF AREA. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WITH MAX SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 73W LATE. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT E OF 73W LATE. N OF RIDGE AXIS SW TO W WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT NEAR FLORIDA COAST. ELSEWHERE S OF RIDGE AXIS NE TOE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS NEAR RIDGE AXIS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS AND SQUALLS S OF 24N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W. SCATTERED TSTMS FAR NW PART. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT S OF AREA BY MON MORNING. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 75W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT S OF 23N AND BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT N OF 23N. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW NEAR NE FLORIDA COAST. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS AND NEAR FLORIDA E COAST. NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS S OF 25N W OF 75W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. MAX SEAS BUILDING TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N W OF 76W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 7 FT E OF 78W AND 5 TO 8 FT NEAR FLORIDA SE COAST. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW FAR NW. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT FLORIDA E COAST. E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE S OF 25N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 27N W OF 76W LIFTING N. .TUE AND WED...W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N WED. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT S OF 28N SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT WED AND 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT N OF 28N WED. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT W OF 75W TUE. S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT E OF 70W WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 29N W OF 77W TUE LIFTING N WED. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN