000 FZNT23 KNHC 160905 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-161530- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER HAITI NEAR 18.7N 72.0W 1007 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FAY WILL MOVE WNW AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19.0N 74.0W THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR 19.6N 76.4W TONIGHT....NEAR 20.5N 78.3W SUN...THEN POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE ALONG THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 21.8N 79.9W SUN NIGHT. FAY WILL MOVE NW ACROSS CUBA ON MON WITH WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDING OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE E OF THE AREA ALONG 52W WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 15N52W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN. THE WAVE WILL EXIT THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT OR EARLY MON. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS LATE WED. $$ AMZ082-161530- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N E OF 79W... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 19N BETWEEN 79W AND 83W LATE SUN THROUGH MON... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT TONIGHT. SEAS BUILDING 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT TONIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS 14 FT LATE TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N E OF 82W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT TONIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS DEVELOPING N OF 16N E OF 80W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 82W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 240 NM OF FAY. .MON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT N OF AREA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 82W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 19N BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. .TUE...N OF 20N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ084-161530- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .TODAY THROUGH SUN...N OF 11N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E TO SE E OF 78W. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...N OF 12N E OF 78W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 12N W OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TUE AND WED...N OF 12N E OF 77W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. N OF 12N W OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ086-161530- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N W OF 70W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY MOVING W OF AREA TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 68W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 65W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 65W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS N OF 16N W OF 68W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 18N W OF 72W...INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE...SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 15N W OF 68W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WINDWARD PASSAGE. .MON THROUGH WED...S OF 15N W OF 68W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ087-161530- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 15N E OF 58W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 15N W OF 58W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS SHIFTING E TO SE TONIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 16N E OF LOW SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 16N W OF LOW NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. S OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .MON...N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. .TUE...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 15N E OF 58W LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...N OF 16N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 14N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS DEVELOPING E PART. $$ AMZ088-161530- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER HAITI NEAR 18.7N 72.0W 1007 MB AT 5 AM EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. FAY WILL MOVE WNW AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19.0N 74.0W THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR 19.6N 76.4W TONIGHT....NEAR 20.5N 78.3W SUN...THEN POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE ALONG THE S COAST OF CUBA NEAR 21.8N 79.9W SUN NIGHT. FAY WILL MOVE NW ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON THEN NEAR THE W COAST OF FLORIDA TUE AND WED. ELSEWHERE...RIDGE FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL LIFT N TO 31N BY SUN. A TROUGH WILL MOVE TO 65W ON MON THEN STALL N OF 25N THROUGH WED. $$ AMZ080-161530- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 21N W OF 70W... ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 27N W OF 76W SUN THROUGH TUE... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT S OF AREA. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 28N E OF 80W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT INCREASING TO 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT S OF AREA. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 76W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 28N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 28N W OF 70W AND N OF 29N W OF 75W. .MON...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N W OF 76W SE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 28N W OF 76W. .TUE AND WED...W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 24N E OF 70W N TO NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NW PART. $$ FORECASTER BERG