000
FZNT23 KNHC 160341 CCA
OFFNT3

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH 
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA...CORRECTED    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N 
ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

AMZ089-160930-
SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 18.7N 70.8W 1008 MB AT 11 PM
EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
FAY WILL ACROSS HISPANIOLA OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE SAT REACHING TO NEAR 19.3N 75.5W BY SAT NIGHT. FAY WILL 
THEN TURN MORE NW AND REACH SE CUBA NEAR 20.0N 77.8W SUN MORNING
...AND SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS IT REACHES TO S OF CUBA NEAR 21.0N 
79.5W SUN NIGHT. FAY WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS
NW ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA LATE SUN NIGHT INTO MON MORNING WHEN
IT WILL BEGIN TO EMERGE INTO THE LOWER STRAITS OF FL REACHING
TO NEAR 24.0N 81.5W AS A HURRICANE BY MON NIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE
E OF THE AREA ALONG 51W/52W WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 15N52W IS 
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS SAT NIGHT 
AND SUN THEN WEAKEN. THE WAVE WILL EXIT THE NORTHERN PART OF THE 
AREA SUN NIGHT OR EARLY MON. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD MOVE 
INTO THE EASTERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS ON WED.

$$
AMZ082-160930-
NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W  
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008
 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N E OF 77W...

.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 
90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND
75 NM NW QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. 
HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT IN NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N E OF 
78W SE TO WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 17N E OF 79W 
NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE SAT NIGHT. SEAS 2 
TO 4 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN N SWELL SAT NIGHT. REMAINDER 
AREA N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 
KT N OF 17N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W SAT AND TO 20 TO 25 KT SAT 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FT SAT NIGHT. 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS N PART.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT DECREASING TO 60 NM SUN NIGHT...60 NM SE QUADRANT 
INCREASING TO 75 NM SUN NIGHT...0 NM SW QUADRANT INCREASING TO 
25 NM SUN NIGHT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT INCREASING TO 75 NM SUN 
NIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT...INCREASING TO 60 KT 
GUSTS TO 75 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 18N E OF 82W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT SE TO S 20 TO 
25 KT E OF 79W...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 
8 FT...EXCEPT 7 TO 10 FT E OF 79W SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT SUN 
NIGHT. REMAINDER AREA N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT 
N OF 18N AND 2 TO 3 FT S OF 18N. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS N 
OF 17N E OF 82W.
.MON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...75 
NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 25 NM SW QUADRANT.T HIGHEST WINDS 60 
KT GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT. CONDITIONS MOVING N 
OF AREA IN EARLY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N BETWEEN 77W AND 
82W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE E OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 
TO 5 FT. REMAINDER AREA VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N CENTRAL PART 
LIFTING N OF AREA IN AFTERNOON.
.TUE...N OF 20N E OF 82W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING 
TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 
FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.WED...S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 
FT. S OF 20N W OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. 
ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.

$$
AMZ084-160930-
SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...N OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT 
...BECOMING VARIABLE SAT AND SAT NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 2 FT SAT AND SAT NIGHT. S OF 11N VARIABLE 
WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
TSTMS S OF 13N.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT
...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...BUILDING
TO 4 TO 5 FT SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 
TO 3 FT.
.MON AND TUE...N OF 12N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT 
INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT TUE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 
FT TUE. N OF 12N W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING 
TO 10 TO 15 KT TUE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 
12N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 2 TO 
4 FT IN NE SWELL TUE.
.WED...N OF 12N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING 
TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. N 
OF 12N W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 
12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.


$$
AMZ086-160930-
E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 18N W OF 69W INCLUDING WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT
...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT 
IN NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 69W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW W OF 71W...AND NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT 
WINDWARD PASSAGE INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
BETWEEN 69W AND 71W...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 
FT WINDWARD PASSAGE. S OF 18N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 
2 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N E OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT 
10 TO 15 KT E OF 67W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT E OF 
67W. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS N OF 
16N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W DIMINISHING E PART LATE.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST 
SEAS TO 18 FT IN SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 71W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 
15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT S OF 17N W OF 70W. 
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BETWEEN 66W AND 71W...AND 1 TO 3 FT ELSEWHERE. 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS NW PART MOVING W OF AREA LATE.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...WINDWARD PASSAGE SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT SUN NIGHT. N OF 16N W OF 72W SE WINDS 15 
TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING 
TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 
FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS OVER WINDWARD 
PASSAGE DIMINISHING.
.MON AND TUE...S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 
4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.WED...W OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 
68W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

$$
AMZ087-160930-
TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

.TONIGHT...N OF 15N E OF 58W NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 
FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS S 
OF 11N. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT... EXCEPT 3 TO 4 FT S OF 11N. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 13N TO 18N E OF 56W.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N OF 17N E OF 60W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 
KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 15N W OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. 
SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 
7 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS NE PART.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 19N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT 
BECOMING E TO SE WINDS. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN 
E TO SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT 
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E 
WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NE PART 
DIMINISHING SUN NIGHT.
.MON...N OF 18N E OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING E. 
SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. S OF 18N NE TO E 
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.TUE...FROM 15N TO 20N E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 
TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E 
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS FAR E LATE.
.WED...N OF 15N E OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING 
TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 
FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS 
BECOMING E TO SE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N.


$$
AMZ088-160930-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 18.7N 70.8W 1008 MB AT 11 PM
EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
FAY WILL ACROSS HISPANIOLA OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE SAT REACHING TO NEAR 19.3N 75.5W BY SAT NIGHT. FAY WILL 
THEN TURN MORE NW AND REACH SE CUBA NEAR 20.0N 77.8W SUN MORNING
...AND SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS IT REACHES TO S OF CUBA NEAR 21.0N 
79.5W SUN NIGHT. FAY WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS
NW ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA LATE SUN NIGHT INTO MON MORNING WHEN
IT WILL BEGIN TO EMERGE INTO THE LOWER STRAITS OF FL REACHING TO
NEAR 24.0N 81.5W AS A HURRICANE BY MON NIGHT. FAY WILL TRACK
NW OVER THE FAR E GULF OF MEXICO MON THROUGH WED. RIDGE FROM 
30N65W TO S FL WILL LIFT FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA SAT THEN 
SHIFT E OF AREA SUN THROUGH WED.

$$
AMZ080-160930-
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...CORRECTED 
1130 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008

CORRECTED SUN AND SUN NIGHT

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 21N W OF 69W...

.TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT
...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT 
IN NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N E OF 74W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
20 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE E OF 70W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 
RIDGE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT E OF BAHAMAS...
AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF RIDGE AXIS SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 
15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT NEAR FLORIDA COAST. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 23N BETWEEN 67W AND 74W.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 71W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF RIDGE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 
KT...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 75W. SEAS 4 TO 7 
FT...EXCEPT 6 TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 75W. WINDS AND 
SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 26N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF RIDGE 
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT S OF 24N W OF 
77W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT 6 TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 
75W. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 26N BETWEEN 
68W AND 78W.
.MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED FAR SW PART...INCLUDING 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 
KT...EXCEPT NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT W OF 77W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 
SQUALLS FAR SW PART.
.TUE AND WED...W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING 
TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE TUE...EXCEPT 20 TO 30 KT OVER THE FAR NW PART
WED. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT FAR SW PART WED.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FAR W PART MOVING N OF AREA WED.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE