000 FZNT23 KNHC 152124 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-160330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 18.5N 69.4W 1008 MB AT 5 PM EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FAY SHOULD MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND PASS OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE SAT AFTERNOON. FAY IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK NW ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA ON SUN AND EMERGE INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON AFTERNOON NEAR 23.5N 81.0W AND CONTINUE NW INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER ON MON THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 15N50W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS SAT NIGHT AND SUN THEN WEAKEN...AND EXIT THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA LATE SUN OR EARLY MON. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE SHOULD ARRIVE OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WED NEXT WEEK. $$ AMZ082-160330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 19N E OF 78W... .TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N E OF 78W SE TO WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 17N E OF 79W NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE SAT NIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT... BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN N SWELL SAT NIGHT. REMAINDER AREA N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 17N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W SAT AND TO 20 TO 25 KT SAT AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FT SAT NIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS N PART. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT...CONDITIONS MOVING N OF AREA LATE SUN NIGHT. HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 82W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT NEAR E CUBAN COAST BECOMING W TO NW. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 10 FT NEAR E CUBAN COAST. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .MON...N OF 20N E OF 83W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 83W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .TUE...N OF 20N E OF 82W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 20N W OF 84W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ084-160330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 .TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...N OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT SAT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 11N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...HIGHEST N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT ...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT... BUILDING TO 4 TO 5 FT SUN NIGHT. ELSEWHERE NE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .MON AND TUE...N OF 12N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT TUE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT TUE. N OF 12N W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT TUE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL TUE. .WED...N OF 12N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 12N W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ086-160330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 19N W OF 73W INCLUDING WINDWARD PASSAGE... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 69W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW W OF 71W...AND NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WINDWARD PASSAGE INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT BETWEEN 69W AND 71W...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT WINDWARD PASSAGE. S OF 18N W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 18N E OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT 10 TO 15 KT E OF 67W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT E OF 67W. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS N OF 16N BETWEEN 66W AND 74W DIMINISHING E PART LATE. .SAT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT G 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. MAX SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WINDWARD PASSAGE NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT BECOMING SW TO W. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 17N W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT SAT NIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT SAT NIGHT. ELSEWHERE W OF 67W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA. E OF 67W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS WITH HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS NEAR HISPANIOLA AND WINDWARD PASSAGE. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...WINDWARD PASSAGE SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. N OF 16N W OF 72W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS AND SQUALLS OVER WINDWARD PASSAGE DIMINISHING. .MON AND TUE...S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...W OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 68W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ087-160330- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 .TONIGHT...N OF 15N E OF 58W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 10 KT OR LESS S OF 11N. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 4 FT S OF 11N. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N OF 17N E OF 60W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 15N W OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS NE PART. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 19N E OF 60W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING E TO SE WINDS. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NE PART DIMINISHING LATE. .MON...N OF 18N E OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .TUE...FROM 15N TO 20N E OF 62W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS FAR E LATE. .WED...N OF 15N E OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E TO SE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N. $$ AMZ088-160330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 .SYNOPSIS...NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 18.6N 68.6W 1008 MB AT 5 PM EDT MOVING W 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FAY SHOULD MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA TO NEAR 19.0N 71.3W LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO EASTERN CUBA NEAR 19.4N 74.1W BY SAT AFTERNOON...TO NEAR 19.9N 76.5W BY LATE SAT NIGHT. FAY WILL THEN TURN NW AND MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA ON SUN...AND EMERGE INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON AFTERNOON NEAR 23.5N 81.0W AND TRACK NW TOWARDS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER ON MON THROUGH TUE. RIDGE FROM 30N65W TO S FL WILL LIFT FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA SAT THEN SHIFT E OF AREA SUN THROUGH WED. $$ AMZ080-160330- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT FRI AUG 15 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 21N W OF 69W... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N E OF 74W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE E OF 70W. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF RIDGE AXIS NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT E OF BAHAMAS...AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF RIDGE AXIS SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT NEAR FLORIDA COAST. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 25N E OF 76W. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N W OF 71W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF RIDGE AXIS NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 75W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT 6 TO 9 FT ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF 75W. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS SQUALLS S OF 26N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 40 KT GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 17 FT. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED FAR SW PART...INCLUDING STRAITS OF FLORIDA. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N E OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT... EXCEPT NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT W OF 77W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FAR SW PART. .TUE AND WED...W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT S OF 28N. E OF 78W E TO SE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FAR W PART MOVING N OF AREA WED. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AGUIRRE