000 FZNT23 KNHC 280326 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W AMZ089-280930- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 .SYNOPSIS...NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN NEAR 15.9N 71.5W 1003 MB AT 11 PM EDT MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM SUN MORNING NEAR 16.6N 72.6W...AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN TO NEAR 18.8N 76.0W MON MORNING...TO NEAR 19.6N 77.6W MON NIGHT...AND TO NEAR 21.0N 80.0W TUE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL STORM IS THEN FORECAST TO TURN N AND TRACK NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA THROUGH WED AND THEN TURN NE REACHING THE VICINITY OF THE WESTERN BAHAMAS THU. NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRES TROUGH OVER THE W CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 20N85W TO 14N82W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH SUN NIGHT. $$ AMZ082-280930- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED N AND NE PARTS... .TONIGHT AND SUN...W OF TROUGH NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. N OF 19N E OF TROUGH NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT SUN. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT SUN. ELSEWHERE NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 80W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 76W...INCREASING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SUN. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED NE PART. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N E OF 79W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 16N W OF 79W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. REMAINDER AREA SW TO W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS NE PART. .MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N AND N AND NE PARTS. ELSEWHERE N OF 18N E OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 18N W OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 80W. S OF 18N E OF 80W SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS .THU...W OF 81W W TO NW WINDS...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5TO 8 FT. E OF 81W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N PART SHIFTING N OF AREA IN AFTERNOON. $$ AMZ084-280930- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 .TONIGHT...W OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 12N E OF 80W N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N E OF 80W SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 80W. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N OF 13N NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 13N W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF 77W NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF 77W S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N. .TUE THROUGH THU...E OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 13N. $$ AMZ086-280930- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N E OF 71W E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT. S OF 14N E OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS N OF 13N. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...INCREASING TO 100 NM NE QUADRANT AND TO 75 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS SUN NIGHT...WITH HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT...INCREASING TO 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 14N BETWEEN 63W AND 72W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT SW TO W 10 TO 15 KT W OF 72W. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT W OF 72W. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITHIN 180 NM OF TROPICAL STORM. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 18N W OF 74W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT... DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 71W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS NW PART BECOMING ISOLATED MON NIGHT. .TUE THROUGH THU...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT... DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. $$ AMZ087-280930- TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 .TONIGHT...N OF 19N W OF 60W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 20N. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S OF 16N E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. N OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 15N. .MON THROUGH TUE...S OF 18N E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS MON. .WED AND THU...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. $$ AMZ088-280930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 .SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRES N OF BERMUDA AND LOW PRES IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG EAST WINDS OVER AND E OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH MON. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT E AHEAD OF A FRONT OVER FLORIDA MOVING E AND EXTEND FROM 31N78W TO 30N81W TONIGHT...31N74W 28N80W SUN NIGHT...THEN BECOME STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE ALONG 30N MON NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD TO THE N OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT REINFORCING ELY FLOW ACROSS THE BAHAMAS THROUGH MID WEEK. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT TRACKS NW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED...THEN IS FORECAST TO TURN N AND CROSS WED NIGHT INTO THU POSSIBLY REACHING VICINITY OF THE WESTERN BAHAMAS THU. $$ AMZ080-280930- SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2007 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE WED INTO THU FAR SW PART... .TONIGHT...S OF 26N E OF 77W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL...EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT NE BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 22N E OF 72W...AND ALSO FAR NW PART. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S OF 26N W OF 70W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 8 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. W OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 22N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 72W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT EXCEPT 6 TO 8 FT W OF BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 24N E OF 76W. .TUE...N OF 24N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 24N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL EXCEPT 3 TO 5 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N. .WED AND THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED FAR SW PART LATE WED INTO THU. ELSEWHERE W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. SEAS BUILDING 10 TO 16 FT. N OF 24N E OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 24N E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS W OF 70W. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE