000
FZNT23 KNHC 141504
OFFNT3

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND TROPICAL NORTH 
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND
TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W

AMZ089-142130-
SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC 
FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE EAST OF THE AREA NEAR 10.4N 
52.2W AT 1500 UTC AUG 14...FORECAST TO BE TROPICAL STORM NEAR 
11.5N 55.1W AT 0000 UTC AUG 15...NEAR 12.9N 58.8W AT 1200 UTC 15 
AUG...NEAR 14.2N 62.4W AT 0000 UTC 16 AUG...THEN STRENGTHEN TO  
HURRICANE NEAR 15.5N 66.0W AT 1200 UTC 16 AUG...NEAR 17.5N 73.0W 
AT 1200 UTC 17 AUG...NEAR 19.0N 79.0W AT 1200 UTC 18 AUG...AND 
NEAR 20.5N 84.0W AT 1200 UTC 19 AUG.

$$
AMZ082-142130-
NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE N OF 17N    
E OF 82W TUE AND WED.

.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 18N E OF 80W WIND NE TO E 15 
KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE WIND NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 
TO 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S OF 18N E OF 82W WIND E 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 
FT. ELSEWHERE WIND ELY 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.MON...S OF 18N E OF 80W WIND ELY 15 KT INCREASING NE TO E 15 TO 
20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE WIND ELY 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 
3 TO 5 FT.
.TUE AND WED...N OF 17N E OF 82W HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 
CONDITIONS WITH BUILDING SEAS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE E OF 80W TUE 
AND E OF 84W WED WIND INCREASING 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 
11 FT. ELSEWHERE WIND NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING 5 TO 8 
FT IN LONG PERIOD E SWELL.

$$
AMZ084-142130-
SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

.THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN NIGHT...N OF 12N E OF 80W WIND NE TO 
E 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE WIND NE TO E 10 
TO 15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS MAINLY S 
OF 12N.
.MON...N OF 11N E OF 80W WIND NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 11N WIND NE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN E 
SWELL. S OF 11N WIND N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. WIDELY 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N.
.TUE AND WED...E OF 80W WIND NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT DECREASING NLY 
10 TO 15 KT LATE TUE AND VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS ON WED. SEAS 6 
TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL TUE...SLOWLY SUBSIDING WED. ELSEWHERE WIND 
NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NLY 10 KT WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN  
NE SWELL. 

$$
AMZ086-142130-
E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPECTED 13N TO 17N E OF 66W LATE SUN 
AND SUN NIGHT...
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE N OF 14N W 
OF 64W MON AND TUE...

.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...W OF 70W WIND E 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 
6 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. E OF 70W WIND E TO SE 15 KT BECOMING NE TO 
E 15 KT LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS OVER ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 65W TONIGHT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...HIGHEST WIND 60 KT GUSTS 80 KT NEAR THE 
CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIVE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WIND 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 68W 
TO TROPICAL STORM WIND INCREASING N TO NE 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
BUILDING 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF TROPICAL STORM WIND SE 15 TO 
20 KT SEAS DECREASING 5 TO 6 FT. W OF 68W WIND NE TO E 15 TO 20 
KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN 
VICINITY OF TROPICAL STORM.
.MON AND TUE...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND 
BUILDING SEAS POSSIBLE N OF 14N W OF 64W. ELSEWHERE W OF 
TROPICAL STORM WINDS INCREASING 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF TROPICAL STORM WIND DECREASING E TO SE 10 
TO 15 KT ON TUE. SEAS SUBSIDING 4 TO 5 FT TUE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS IN VICINITY OF FORECAST HURRICANE.
.WED...N OF 15N W OF 70W WIND DECREASING SE 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 
FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF 68W WIND E 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 
7 FT. E OF 68W WIND E TO SE 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS 
SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 70W.

$$
AMZ087-142130-
TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 11N TO 15N E OF 59W TONIGHT... 
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXPECTED FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 57W SUN 
AND SUN NIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...FROM 10N TO 15N E OF 58W WIND NE TO E 
INCREASING 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
10N WINDS NE TO E 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 10N 
WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.TONIGHT...HIGHEST WIND 50 KT GUST 60 KT NEAR CENTER OF TROPICAL 
STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 12N WIND ELY INCREASING 15 
TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 8. ELSEWHERE S OF 12N E OF STORM 
WIND SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 12N 
WIND VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS S OF 15N IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...HIGHEST WIND 60 KT GUST 75 KT NEAR CENTER 
OF TROPICAL STORM LATE SUN NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 14N 
E OF STORM WIND SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT...DECREASING E TO SE 10 TO 
15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING 4 TO 6 FT SUN NIGHT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 14N WIND ELY 15 TO 20 KT...DECREASING ELY 15 KT 
SUN NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL SUBSIDING E OF 58W SUN 
NIGHT.  
.MON...N OF 18N W OF 58W WIND E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 10N WIND ELY 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. S OF 10N 
WIND NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
.TUE AND WED...WIND NE E 10 TO 15 KT TUE SHIFTING E TO SE 10 TO 
15 KT WED. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.

$$
AMZ088-142130-
SYNOPSIS FOR SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE CHARLEY N OF THE AREA NEAR 33.2N 79.0W AT 
1500 UTC AUG 14 WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE N OF THE AREA 
THROUGH TONIGHT. ATLC RIDGE BUILDS SW ALONG 31N69W 27N79W ON SUN 
AND DRIFTS N WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N BY MON NIGHT. TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION FIVE WELL SE OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE S 
OF THE AREA ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA MON THROUGH WED. 

$$
AMZ080-142130-
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
1130 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

.THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 29N W OF 76W WIND S TO SW 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 72W WIND SE TO S 10 TO 
15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 25N E OF 72W WIND E TO SE 10 KT. 
SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. E OF 25N WIND E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 
FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 25N W OF 78W. WIDELY 
SCATTERED SHOWERS E OF 70W.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...S OF 25N E OF 73W WIND E TO SE 15 KT. SEAS 4 
TO 6 FT. S OF 25N W OF 73W WIND E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 
FT. N OF 25N E OF 75W WIND E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 
25N W OF 75W WIND SE TO S 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S OF 25N E OF 70W WIND INCREASING ELY 15 TO 
20 KT. SEAS BUILDING 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N 
WIND E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL E 
OF 70W AND 2 TO 4 FT ELSEWHERE. N OF 27N E OF 70W WIND E TO SE 
10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. N OF 27N W OF 70W WIND SE TO S 10 
KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 27N W OF 
76W AND ALSO S OF 22N E OF 70W.
.TUE...S OF 23N W OF 73W WIND ELY 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N WIND E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5  
FT. N OF 25N E OF 73W WIND E TO SE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 4 
FT. N OF 25N W OF 73W WIND VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 
FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 77W AND ALSO S OF 
23N W OF 70W.
.WED...S OF 25N W OF 73W WIND ELY 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 27N WIND E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N 
OF 27N E OF 72W WIND VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN 
SE SWELL. N OF 27N W OF 72W WIND SE TO S 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 
TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 24N W OF 73W.

$$
FORECASTER HOLWEG