000 FZNT25 KNHC 132130 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS .SYNOPSIS...1016 MB HIGH NEAR 29N67W WITH WEAK AND NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING W TO FLORIDA WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS FRI AFTERNOON AND FROM 31N60W TO SOUTHERN BAHAMAS SAT MORNING...THEN WEAKEN AND SINK ACROSS SE PORTIONS BY LATE SUN. A WEAK TROUGH WITH ACTIVE WEATHER FROM THE NW BAHAMAS ACROSS EXTREME S FLORIDA WILL DRIFT E AND NE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THU...THEN MERGE WITH FRONT ON FRI. WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO NEAR 23.0N 81.0W AS A TROPICAL STORM FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION SAT AND DISSIPATE SUN OVER CENTRAL CUBA. SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 80W FRI... .TONIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS S OF 29N. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E OF 72W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT NE WINDS W OF TROUGH. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS W OF 79W. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N OF 27W S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU NIGHT AHEAD OF TROUGH AND BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS S OF 24N W OF 80W. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N W OF 79W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE SE OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT. N OF 26N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS NEAR PAULA AND SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SUN...N OF 27N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 75W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL E OF 75W SUN. S OF 27N W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT SUN. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .MON...N OF 27N N TO NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL E OF 75W AND 4 TO 6 FT IN N SWELL W OF 75W. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 FT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL E OF BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 5 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA OVER YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 21.7N SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. PAULA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 22.1N 85.2W LATE TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN FURTHER TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22.7N 84.0W THU AFTERNOON ...THEN WILL GRADUALLY TURN SE AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER W CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 23.0N 82.5W BY LATE THU NIGHT...AND CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 23.0N 81.0W BY FRI AFTERNOON. PAULA WILL THEN WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION SAT AND DISSIPATE SUN OVER CENTRAL CUBA. A WEAK COLD FRONT FROM N FLORIDA EXTENDS SW TO 26N90W TO NE MEXICO NEAR 25N98W. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SE AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THU MORNING BEFORE A STRONGER REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SE ACROSS THE AREA THU THROUGH EARLY FRI NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN THEN SHIFT TO NE OF THE GULF MON. MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W ...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 23N E OF 86W... .TONIGHT...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...15 NM SW QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 3 TO 5 FT N OF 27N. NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA. .THU AND THU NIGHT...S OF 24N E OF 87W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EARLY...DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 25 KT THU NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT... SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU NIGHT. ELSEWHERE WINDS BECOMING NW TO N 15 TO 20 KT...SHIFTING TO N TO NE THU NIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S OF 24N E OF 87W N TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NW TO N WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT FROM 24N TO 28N...AND TO 1 TO 3 FT N OF 28N FRI NIGHT. .SAT AND SUN...N OF 25N NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 25N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .MON...S OF 25N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 25N WINDS BECOMING E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W ...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 24N... .TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...S OF 24N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT AND FURTHER INCREASING TO HURRICANE STRENGTH S OF 23N LATE TONIGHT INTO THU MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THU EVENING AND FRI. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...15 NM SW QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 3 TO 5 FT N OF 27N. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS S OF 25N. .FRI NIGHT...S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. .SAT...N OF 27N WINDS BECOMING N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT TO 20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT TO 7 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. .SUN...N OF 25N E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 25N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .MON...S OF 25N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 25N WINDS BECOMING E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W .SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA OVER YUCATAN CHANNEL NEAR 21.7N SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. PAULA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 22.1N 85.2W LATE TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN FURTHER TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA NEAR 22.7N 84.0W THU AFTERNOON...THEN WILL GRADUALLY TURN SE AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER W CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 23.0N 82.5W BY LATE THU NIGHT...AND CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 23.0N 81.0W BY FRI AFTERNOON. PAULA WILL THEN WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION SAT AND DISSIPATE SUN OVER CENTRAL CUBA. HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THE EXITING PAULA WILL SPREAD FRESH N WINDS INTO THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI. NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W ...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 21N W OF 85W... .TONIGHT...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 84W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 7 FT S OF 17N E OF 80W IN SE SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. .THU AND THU NIGHT...W OF 84W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...HIGHEST NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 17N E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W OF 82W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 17N E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN SE SWELL. .SAT...W OF 83W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 83W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .SUN...W OF 85W NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 85W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .MON...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT W TO NW WINDS 10 KT GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$