000 FZNT25 KNHC 131535 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT WED OCT 13 2010 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS .SYNOPSIS...1017 MB HIGH NEAR 29N67W WITH WEAK AND NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING W TO FLORIDA WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS FRI AFTERNOON AND FROM 31N60W TO SOUTHERN BAHAMAS SAT MORNING...THEN WEAKEN AND SINK ACROSS SE PORTIONS BY LATE SUN. A WEAK TROUGH WITH ACTIVE WEATHER FROM THE NW BAHAMAS ACROSS EXTREME S FLORIDA WILL DRIFT E AND NE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THU...THEN MERGE WITH FRONT ON FRI. WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL IS FORECAST TO TURN NE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND MOVE E ALONG THE NW COAST OF CUBA FRI AND TURN SE AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL CUBA SUN. SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 79W SAT... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS S OF 29N. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E OF 72W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT NE WINDS W OF TROUGH. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS W OF 79W. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .THU AND THU NIGHT...N OF 27W S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU NIGHT AHEAD OF TROUGH AND BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N W OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E OF TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH. .FRI...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT N OF 28N. E OF FRONT N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 24N W OF 79W SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE E OF FRONT S OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS S OF 23N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .SAT AND SUN...N OF 27N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 75W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 14 FT IN NW SWELL E OF 75W SUN. S OF 27N W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH S OF 24N W OF 79W AND 20 TO 33 KT S OF 25N W OF 80W EARLY SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 20 KT S OF 25N W OF 80W LATE SAT THROUGH SUN. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT 8 TO 12 FT S OF 25N W OF 80W EARLY SAT. E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KT SUN. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA MOVING N THROUGH YUCATAN CHANNEL WAS NEAR 21.3N 85.8W AT 1500 UTC...WILL GRADUALLY TURN NE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND REACH NEAR 22.6N 84.8W THU MORNING AS A HURRICANE THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TURNS MORE E ALONG THE NW COAST OF CUBA...REACHING NEAR 23.1N83.5W THU EVENING. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE MORE SE AND INLAND ACROSS W CENTRAL CUBA AND QUICKLY WEAKEN FRI AND SATURDAY...THEN DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL CUBA SUN. A WEAK COLD FRONT FROM NEAR 30N85W TO NEAR BROWNSVILLE LATE THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SE AND DISSIPATE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE A STRONGER REINFORCING COLD FRONT PUSHES SE THROUGH MUCH OF THE GULF THU AND FRI. MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W ...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 23N E OF 87W... .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING 15 TO 20 KT...LOCALLY 25 KT TONIGHT AND THU. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT THU. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS S OF 25N. .THU NIGHT...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .FRI...N TO NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NW TO N WINDS 10 KT N OF 28N LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT N OF 28N LATE. .SAT AND SUN...N OF 25N NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 25N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W ...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 24N... .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI...S OF 24N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE STRENGTH S OF 23N LATE TONIGHT AND THU MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THU EVENING AND FRI. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 70 KT GUST 85 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT FRI. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT FRI. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N. .SAT...N OF 27N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT TO 7 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. .SUN...N OF 25N E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 25N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W .SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA AT 21.3N 85.8W AT 1500 UTC MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. PAULA WILL GRADUALLY TURN NE AND REACH NEAR 22.0N 85.5W THIS EVENING THEN MOVE N OF AREA TO NEAR 22.6N 84.8W THU MORNING THEN CONTINUE E ALONG THE NW COAST OF CUBA THROUGH FRI BEFORE MOVING MORE SE AND INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA... WEAKENING QUICKLY AND DISSIPATING BY SUN. HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THE EXITING PAULA WILL SPREAD FRESH N WINDS INTO THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN THU AND NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W ...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 20.5N W OF 85W... .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 85 KT GUST TO 105 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. HIGHEST SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 84W VARIABLE MAINLY W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT...LOCALLY 25 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN SCATTERED SQUALLS AND TSTMS W OF 80W. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT W OF 86W THU NIGHT AND FRI. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN SCATTERED TSTMS IN SQUALLS N OF 17N. .SUN...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$