000
FZNT25 KNHC 122109
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...

SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE REMAINS N OF 27N THROUGH THU.
A COLD FRONT MOVES OFF N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACHES
FROM BERMUDA TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS FRI AND FROM 31N60W TO
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS SAT. WEAKENING TROP STORM PAULA EXPECTED TO
EMERGE FROM CENTRAL CUBA SAT THEN DRIFT E THROUGH SUN.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT.
SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS W OF 79W.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT
SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W BECOMING NW WINDS 15 TO 20
KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N W OF TROUGH NW TO N
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N E OF TROUGH SE TO
S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR
TROUGH. .FRI...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF FRONT S
TO SW WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT S OF 27N AND 4 TO 7 FT
N OF 27N. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT.
.SAT AND SUN...N OF 27N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.
SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 27N W OF FRONT N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT EXCEPT 3 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS
10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE
CLOSE TO YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY WED AND CROSS BRIEFLY INTO THE
GULF NEAR 22.0N 86.0W THU MORNING BEFORE TURNING E AND
WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.0N 85.5W FRI MORNING.
PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFT E JUST TO THE SW OF
CUBA THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRES OVER NE GULF WILL DISSIPATE TODAY
AS WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY WED
MORNING. THIS FRONT DISSIPATES LATE WED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
AND A STRONGER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH MUCH OF THE GULF THU.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 23N E OF 88W...
.THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO
2 FT. S OF 24N E OF 88W NE WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10
TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
FROM 25N TO 27N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 25N
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT S OF 22N E OF
88W LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 26N.
.WED THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS
75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER THROUGH THU WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS INCREASING 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5
TO 7 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N TO NE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT
THU. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS S OF 25N.
.FRI AND SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT 100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF PAULA.
HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT GUST 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10
TO 15 KT N OF 25N SAT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT N
OF 26N SAT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS SE PART.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 84W THU
EVENING THROUGH SAT...
.THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 26N NE WINDS 5 TO 10
KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS N OF 28N. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 26N NE
TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT EXCEPT TO 6 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S OF 24N W OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THU EVENING. HIGHEST
WINDS 60 KT GUST 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N WINDS 15 TO 20
KT FRI AND AND N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SAT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT
BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT FRI AND SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT SAT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N.

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA AT 19.2N 86.0W AT 2100 UTC MOVING
NNW OR 345 DEG AT 8 KT. PAULA WILL MOVE TO 20.3N 86.2W EARLY
WED AND TO 21.5N 86.0W WED AFTERNOON TO NEAR 22.0N 85.0W EARLY
THU NEAR 22.5N 83.5W THU AFTERNOON AS A HURRICANE BEFORE
WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.5N 80.5W FRI AFTERNOON.
PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS E ACROSS CUBA

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 18N W OF 84W...
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM N AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF PAULA TONIGHT AND
EXPANDING TO 100 NM E AND 75 NM W WED THROUGH THU. HIGHEST
WINDS 85 KT GUST TO 105 KT INCREASING TO 95 KT GUST TO 115 KT
WED. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 25 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OF PAULA TODAY AND EXPANDING TO 150 NM OF CENTER
THROUGH THU WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF
84W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E TO
80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN SCATTERED TSTMS IN
SQUALLS W OF 80W. .THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO
11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN
SCATTERED TSTMS IN SQUALLS N OF 17N. .SUN...NE TO E WINDS 10

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