000
FZNT25 KNHC 120933
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT TUE OCT 12 2010

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...

SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE REMAINS N OF 25N THROUGH THU.
A WEAK TROUGH OVER FAR SE WATERS DRIFTS E TONIGHT. A COLD
FRONT MOVES OFF N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACH FROM
BERMUDA TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS FRI AND FROM 27N65W TO SOUTHERN
BAHAMAS LATE SAT. MEANWHILE...A TROUGH EMERGES FROM CENTRAL
CUBA AND STRETCH ACROSS WESTERN BAHAMAS WED. THIS TROUGH MOVES
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT TO 26N65W TO 20N70W LATE SAT.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT
VARIABLE WINDS E OF 70W EARLY. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 23N E OF 70W.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS
ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH AND IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2
TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS 10
TO 15 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF
BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH.
.THU...N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS
10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W LATE THU BECOME NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N W OF TROUGH NW TO N
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N E OF TROUGH SE TO
S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITHIN 120 NM
OF TROUGH N OF 25N. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR
TROUGH. .FRI...N OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF FRONT W
OF TROUGH NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF
FRONT AND TROUGH SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT S OF 27N AND 4 TO 6
FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH AND IN STRAITS OF
FLORIDA. .SAT...N OF 29N E OF 76W W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 7 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT N TO NE WINDS S OF 26N. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT W OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FT E OF BAHAMAS. S OF FRONT
W OF TROUGH N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E OF TROUGH S TO SW
WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT 10 TO 15 KT N OF 24N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH AND IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE
CLOSE TO YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY WED MORNING AND CROSS BRIEFLY
INTO THE GULF NEAR 21.5N 86.0W THU MORNING BEFORE TURNING E AND
WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.5N 85.0W EARLY FRI
MORNING. PAULA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFT E JUST TO
THE SW OF CUBA THROUGH SAT NIGHT. HIGH PRES OVER NE GULF WILL
DISSIPATE TODAY AS WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST
EARLY WED MORNING. THIS FRONT DISSIPATES LATE WED OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF AND A STRONGER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE GULF THU.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...HURRICANE WARNING S OF 23N E OF 88W...
.TODAY...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S
OF 24N E OF 88W NE WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT.
SEAS 1 TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT.
FROM 25N TO 27N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 25N
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 33 KT S OF 22N E OF
88W LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 26N.
.WED THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100
KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF
CENTER THROUGH THU WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS INCREASING 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
5 TO 7 FT. N OF 25N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N TO NE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT
THU. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS S OF 25N.
.FRI AND SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF
CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT GUST 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER IN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO
18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
7 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO
10 TO 15 KT N OF 25N SAT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FT
N OF 26N SAT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS SE PART.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 84W THU
EVENING THROUGH SAT...
.TODAY THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 26N NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT
SW TO W WINDS N OF 28N. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 26N NE TO E WINDS
10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SEAS 2 TO 4
FT EXCEPT TO 6 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS S OF 25N.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S OF 24N W OF 84W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
INCREASING TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THU EVENING. HIGHEST
WINDS 60 KT GUST 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN AREA OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
N OF 26N NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N WINDS 15 TO 20
KT FRI AND AND N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SAT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT
BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT FRI AND SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT SAT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N.

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...HURRICANE PAULA AT 17.6N 85.2W AT 0900 UTC MOVING
NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. PAULA WILL CONTINUE NW TO 20.1N 86.5W
EARLY WED AND SLOW AS IT MOVES NE TO 21.5N 86.0W EARLY THU
MORNING AS A HURRICANE BEFORE DIMINISHING TO A TROPICAL STORM
AND MOVING E TO 21.5N 85.0W EARLY FRI MORNING. PAULA WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS E THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 78W MOVE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 17N W OF 85W...
.TODAY THROUGH THU...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER OF PAULA TODAY AND EXPANDING TO 110 NM
OF CENTER THROUGH THU. HIGHEST WINDS 65 KT INCREASING TO 80 KT
WED AND DIMINISHING TO 75 KT THU. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
AREA OF HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS
25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF PAULA TODAY AND EXPANDING TO
150 NM OF CENTER THROUGH THU WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 84W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7
FT. S OF 18N E TO 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8
FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
NUMEROUS TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND
SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS W OF 80W.
.FRI AND SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF
CENTER OF PAULA. HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER IN
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF PAULA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 7 TO
11 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 82W W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS NEAR PAULA. WIND AND SEAS
HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS N OF 17N.

$$