000
FZNT25 KNHC 112142
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON OCT 11 2010

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...

SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF 25N THROUGH THU. WEAK
TROUGH EXTEND FROM 23N65W TO 20N72W DRIFT E OF AREA WED. COLD
FRONT MOVE OFF N FLORIDA COAST THU NIGHT AND REACH FROM BERMUDA
TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS FRI. MEANWHILE...TROUGH EMERGE FROM CENTRAL
CUBA AND STRETCH ACROSS WESTERN BAHAMAS WED. TROUGH MERGES WITH
COLD FRONT FROM 20N71W TO 25N65W LATE SAT.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 27N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT
BECOME SW 10 TO 15 KT TUE NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 27N NE TO
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT SE LESS THAN 10 KT S OF TROUGH. SEAS
3 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS AND S OF TROUGH.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2
TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT N WINDS 10 TO
15 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS.
SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR TROUGH.
.THU...N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS
10 TO 15 KT W OF 75W LATE THU BECOME NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 28N W OF TROUGH NW TO N
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N E OF TROUGH SE TO
S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILD
TO 7 FT. S OF FRONT W OF TROUGH N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO
3 FT. E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT S TO SW
WINDS N OF 26N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...1017 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE N CENTRAL GULF
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY W...THEN DISSIPATES TUE AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT SINKING S THROUGH THE NORTHERN GULF LATE TUE. THE FRONT
WILL DISSIPATE LATE WED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF...WHERE NE WINDS
WILL INCREASE AS T.S. PAULA STALLS IN THE NW CARIBBEAN. STRONG
N WINDS WILL FOLLOW A REINFORCING FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE
GULF THU AND FRI. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS
INTO THE GULF.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...N OF 27N SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO
3 FT. S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 27N W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT.
SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. FROM 25N TO 27N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO
4 FT. S OF 25N NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N WED.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT. S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT TO 30 KT
NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS S OF 25N.
.FRI AND SAT...N OF 25N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S
OF 25N NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR YUCATAN
CHANNEL. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 24N.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...N OF 26N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT.
SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO
20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT IN
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF
24N TUE THROUGH WED.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N OF 26N N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4
FT. S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...PREVIOUS LOW PRES CENTER IN NW CARIBBEAN JUST
TURNED INTO TROPICAL STORM PAULA HUGGING NE COAST OF HONDURAS
HEADING NE. TROPICAL STORM PAULA NEAR 16.8N 84.8W TONIGHT
STRENGTHENS TO HURRICANE TUE NEAR 18.3N86.2W...19.6N86.6W TUE
NIGHT... 20.0N86.4W WED...AN20.0N85.5W THU. PAULA DRIFT E THEN
S TO NEAR 19.RN85.0W BY SAT. WEAK STEERING CURRENTS DO NOT
HELP IN DETERMINING PATH FOR PAULA WITH CERTAINTY ALTHOUGH
MOST STATISTICAL GUIDANCE ACCEPT ITS MEANDERING DRIFT.
FORECAST FOR NW CARIBBEAN RELIES ON THE PRESENCE OF PAULA
THROUGHOUT ENTIRE PERIOD. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE S OF 14N ALONG
76W REACH 80W LATE TUE BEFORE MERGING INTO SE WIND FIELD FROM

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N W OF 83W...
...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 17N W OF 83W TUE...
.TONIGHT...N OF 15N W OF 83W TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN
85 NM N AND 60 NM S OF PAULA CENTER WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 55
KT. SEAS AS HIGH AS 14 FT AND BUILDING HIGHER LATE. ELSEWHERE
S OF 20N W OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT AND GUSTY. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASE TO 25 KT
LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO
20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS
IN SQUALLS W OF 80W.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N OF 17N W OF 83W HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM E OF PAULA WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 105 NM E AND 85 NM W OF CENTER. SEAS
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 86W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
UP TO 12 FT. E OF 86W S OF 18N SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT.
E OF 86W N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT.
WIND AND SEAS HIGHER IN NUMEROUS TSTMS IN SQUALLS W OF 82W.
.FRI AND SAT...N OF 18N W OF 83W HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH
MAXIMUM SPEEDS OF 65 KT AND SEAS TO 25 FT. TROPICAL WINDS
EXTEND 100 NM E OF CENTER AND 50 NM W OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO
18 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 83W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. S
OF 18N E OF 83W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. N OF 18N
E OF 83W E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.

$$