000 AGXX40 KNHC 150637 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 237 AM EDT Fri Sep 15 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas. ...GULF OF MEXICO... Weak ridging along the northern Gulf will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and seas 1 to 3 ft the next several days. The only exception will be a thermal trough moving off the Yucatan Peninsula each night supporting locally fresh winds each night with seas briefly reaching 4 to 5 ft over the eastern Bay of Campeche. A weak surface trough over the central Gulf will support scattered showers and thunderstorms the next few days as it drifts slowly westward toward the western Gulf. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Jose is centered roughly 500 nm E of Nassau, Bahamas as of 3 AM EDT. It is now moving WNW at 7 kt, with maximum sustained winds of 60 kt gusts to 75 kt. Jose is forecast to move west to west- northwest through today, before turning northwest and re- strengthening back to a hurricane later this evening. The hurricane will then turn northward Saturday and move north of our forecast area on Sunday. Swell of 7 to 9 ft from Jose will impact the Atlantic waters N of 19N through today, with 6 to 7 ft swell making it to the Atlantic Passages of the NE Caribbean during that time. Swell will subside over the weekend as Jose begins to move away from the region. Elsewhere, a tropical wave along 74W will move across the central Caribbean through tonight, and across the western Caribbean Saturday through late Sunday night before moving inland Central America early on Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, at times, may accompany the wave. Another tropical wave along 55W and will cross the Tropical N Atlantic through today, then across the eastern Caribbean through Saturday night, the central Caribbean Sunday through early Monday and the eastern part of the western Caribbean Monday night. A third, more vigorous tropical wave is expected to approach 55W on Sunday, and move across the Tropical N Atlantic through early Monday night as it nears the Lesser Antilles. This wave has a medium chance to develop into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, and is expected to move into the northeastern Caribbean early next week. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this wave the next couple of days, with seas building to 8 to 9 ft. Across the remainder of the Caribbean, a weak pressure pattern due to Jose to the north will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds through today. High pressure will begin to build SSW across thew central Atlantic by Friday night which will increase trades slightly, and bring fresh easterlies along the northern coast of Colombia and Venezuela at night. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jose is centered roughly 500 nm E of Nassau, Bahamas as of 3 AM EDT. It is now moving WNW at 7 kt, with maximum sustained winds of 60 kt gusts to 75 kt. Jose is forecast to move west to west- northwest through today, before turning northwest and re- strengthening back to a hurricane later this evening. The hurricane will then turn northward Saturday and move north of our forecast area on Sunday. As stated in previous discussions, Jose will be a swell generator through the rest of the week and into the weekend, with seas in excess of 8 ft in mixed swell dominating the waters E of the Bahamas SE to the waters just N and NE of Puerto Rico. The swell will be slow in subsiding over the weekend, and will linger across the northern zones into early next week after the cyclone exits the region. In the wake of Jose, a trough will extend from near 31N72W to the vicinity of the SE Bahamas and to southeastern Cuba through Monday then become stretched out just east of the eastern Florida coast by mid week. Central Atlantic high pressure will build southwestward to the eastern portion of the basin in the wake of Jose late this week and into early next week. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... Tropical Storm Warning today. Hurricane Warning tonight into Sat night. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into Sat. .AMZ119...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N E OF BAHAMAS TO 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. Hurricane Warning tonight. Tropical Storm Warning Sat. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into tonight. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Latto. National Hurricane Center.