000 AGXX40 KNHC 141833 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 233 PM EDT Thu Sep 14 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas. ...GULF OF MEXICO... Weak ridging along the northern Gulf will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and seas 1 to 3 ft the next several days. The only exception will be a thermal trough moving off the Yucatan Peninsula each night supporting locally fresh winds each night with seas briefly reaching 4 to 5 ft over the eastern Bay of Campeche. An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms is observed from 24N to 28.5N between 84W and 89W due to an upper level shortwave trough lifting northeastward along the eastern periphery of a deep layer trough that stretches from the upper Great Lakes southwestward to central Louisiana and to inland NE Mexico. The shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to translate northeastward towards the NE Gulf waters through Saturday, and may be accompanied by strong gusty winds and rough seas. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Jose is centered roughly 380 nm ENE of the SE Bahamas as of 11 AM EDT. It is now moving WNW at 6 kt, with maximum sustained of 60 kt gusts to 75 kt. Jose is forecast to move west to west- northwest through Friday, before turning northward and weakening to a tropical storm Friday night. The storm will then move N of the forecast waters Saturday night into Sunday while maintaining its Tropical Storm strength. Swell of 7 to 9 ft from Jose will impact the Atlantic waters N of 19N through Friday, with 6 to 7 ft swell making it to the Atlantic Passages of the NE Caribbean during that time. Swell will subside over the weekend as Jose begins to move away from the region. Elsewhere, a tropical wave along 72W will move across the central Caribbean through Friday night, and across the western Caribbean Saturday through late Sunday night before moving inland Central America early on Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, at times, may accompany the wave. Another tropical wave is along a position from near 19N51W to 11N54W and will move through the Tropical N Atlantic through Friday night, then across the eastern Caribbean through Saturday night, the central Caribbean Sunday through early Monday and the eastern part of the western Caribbean Monday night. A third, more vigorous tropical wave is expected to approach 55W on Sunday, and move across the Tropical N Atlantic through early Monday night as it nears the Lesser Antilles. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this wave. Seas may build to 8 to 9 ft near this wave. Across the remainder of the Caribbean, a weak pressure pattern due to Jose to the north will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds through Friday. High pressure will begin to build SSW across thew central Atlantic by Friday night which will increase trades slightly, and bring fresh easterlies along the northern coast of Colombia and Venezuela at night. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jose is centered roughly 380 nm ENE of the SE Bahamas or about 450 nm SSW of Bermuda as of 11 AM EDT this morning. It is now moving WNW at 6 kt, with maximum sustained of 60 kt gusts to 75 kt. Jose is forecast to move west to west- northwest through early on Friday, then intensify once again to a hurricane near 26.7N 70.8W Friday evening, with maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts to 80 kt and continue to near 27.7N 72.1W by early on Saturday with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts to 85 kt. Jose is then forecast to strength slightly as it turns northward to near 29.8N 72.6W early on Sunday, and lift N of the area by early Sunday evening as it weakens slightly. As stated in previous discussions, Jose will be a swell generator through the rest of the week and into the weekend, with seas in excess of 8 ft in mixed swell dominating the waters E of the Bahamas SE to the waters just N and NE of Puerto Rico. The swell will be slow in subsiding over the weekend, and will linger across the northern zones into early next week after the cyclone exits the region. In the wake of Jose, a trough will extend from near 31N72W to the vicinity of the SE Bahamas and to southeastern Cuba through Monday then become diffuse on Tuesday as another trough extends over the NW portion of the basin from near 31N74W to vicinity of the NW Bahamas. Central Atlantic high pressure will build southwestward to the eastern portion of the basin in the wake of Jose late this week and into early next week. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... Hurricane Warning tonight into Fri night. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Fri night. .AMZ119...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N E OF BAHAMAS TO 70W... Hurricane Warning tonight into Fri night. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning today into Fri night. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.