000
AGXX40 KNHC 121803
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
103 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROUGH FROM MOBILE BAY TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL DRIFT E AND
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE NE GULF THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE ALONG 25N WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION MON THROUGH WED.
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE PATTERN ACROSS
THE REGION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH NO FRONTS EXPECTED TO
REACH THE AREA UNTIL THU...AND NO STRONG HIGHS OR LOWS NEARBY TO
AFFECT PREVAILING WINDS. THEREFORE...EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS TO
STEADILY DIMINISH ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN THROUGH WED.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN
TODAY...THEN DIMINISH SUN AS HIGH PRES N OF AREA WEAKENS. WINDS
OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WILL EXCEED 30 KT...AND APPROACH GALE
FORCE TONIGHT...THEN DIMINISH SUN MORNING. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
A RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE PATTERN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH NO STRONG HIGHS OR LOWS NEARBY
TO AFFECT PREVAILING WINDS. THEREFORE...EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS TO
STEADILY DIMINISH ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN THROUGH THU. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/WW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES OVER NORTHERN WATERS WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFF S GEORGIA AND NE FLORIDA INTO NW
WATERS LATE MON...THEN DISSIPATE TUE. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A
RELATIVELY FLAT PRESSURE PATTERN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH NO STRONG HIGHS OR LOWS NEARBY
TO AFFECT PREVAILING WINDS. THEREFORE...EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS
TO STEADILY DIMINISH ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THU.
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.