000
AGXX40 KNHC 240553
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1253 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
 
...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF...FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
OVER THE WESTERN GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE
EASTERN GULF...6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...6-7 FR OVER
THE NW GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE SW GULF. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH SAT BEFORE IT STARTS TO
RETREAT EASTWARD. THIS WILL ENABLE TO COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE
NW GULF SUN WITH GALE FORCE WINDS W OF THE FRONT SPREADING FROM N
TO S OVER THE FAR WESTERN WATERS SUN NIGHT AND MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS PREVAIL OVER
THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE
NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN
THE 12-15 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...7-9 FT OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN...8-10 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 8-9
FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN
THE LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH SUN. NEAR GALE TO GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE N OF COLOMBIA. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH SLIGHTLY ON MON AS HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA STARTS TO
RETREAT EASTWARD AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT STARTS TO LOOSEN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND MODERATE
TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT
RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...7-8 FT OVER THE
NORTHERN WATERS...AND 2-4 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE LARGE SCALE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE MUCH THROUGH SUN. AS A RESULT... 
FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W...
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON. 

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO FRI NIGHT. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.