000
AGXX40 KNHC 230600
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED DEC 23 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.
 
...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NW GULF WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE
OVER THE NW GULF...2-4 FT OVER THE SW GULF...AND 3-4 FT OVER THE E
GULF. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH
SAT WITH SOUTHEASTERLY RETURN FLOW PREVAILING. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE FAR NW WATERS LATE TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL STALL AND
LIFT NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT THU AND FRI. THE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD SATURDAY ENABLING A COLD FRONT TO
MOVE INTO THE FAR NW WATERS SUN NIGHT. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS PREVAIL OVER
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. STRONG TO NEAR
GALE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 11-15
FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...7-10 FT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...7-10 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN..AND 7-9 FT OVER
THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE TO
SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE PREVAILING N OF THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN LITTLE
CHANGE TO THE CURRENT CONDITIONS. NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF GFS/WW3 GUIDANCE WITH PREVIOUS FCST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND MODERATE
TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT
RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...6-8 FT RANGE
OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...AND 2-4 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE
LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE MUCH OVER THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILING OVER THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W
INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN...
     GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU NIGHT. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU NIGHT INTO SUN. 

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.