000
AGXX40 KNHC 071651
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
 
MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE FAR NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL EXCEPT OVER THE NE
GULF WHERE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT
RANGE OVER THE NE GULF...2-3 FT OVER THE SE GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER
THE WESTERN GULF. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA EACH EVENING. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE W INTO THE SW GULF
EACH NIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SW GULF WATERS LATE EACH
MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND THE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE N GULF WATERS WILL PRODUCE A FRESH TO STRONG
BREEZE ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS TROUGH IN THE EVENING
AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SAT.
    
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...AND MODERATE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL
AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...AND 6-7 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL N OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...AND THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED TO THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS. 
   
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WINDS. TAFB NWPS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE
4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...3-4 FT
OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH
PRESSURE PREVAILING OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE N COAST
OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THU NIGHT. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.