000 AGXX40 KNHC 241855 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 255 PM EDT WED JUN 24 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS A RIDGE IS OVER THE NE AND N CENTRAL GULF TODAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 94W S OF 22N AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI DUE TO THE REMNANT NORTHERN SECTIONS OF TWO SUCCESSIVE TROPICAL WAVES. A 1020 MB HIGH WILL FORM OVER THE NE GULF THU. A RIDGE WILL AGAIN FORM OVER THE N GULF FRI AND PERSIST THROUGH SUN. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N92W TODAY. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY DUE TO AN OMEGA BLOCK. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SE OF THE CENTER MOSTLY OVER THE NE CARIBBEAN. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO GENTLE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. WINDS WILL INCREASE DUE TO DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT ALONG N AND W COASTAL SECTIONS OF YUCATAN EACH DAY...WHERE WINDS COULD INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KT AND SEAS TO AROUND 5 FT EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS-ECMWF CONSENSUS ATLC HIGH PRES RIDGE REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG 28N-29N AND WILL MAINTAIN STRONG TO NEAR GALE WARNING FORCE TRADES ACROSS THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND FRESH TO STRONG TRADES ELSEWHERE ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL PORTIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A GALE IS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THUOUGH FRI. PEAK WINDS OFF COLOMBIA ARE ASSUMED TO HAVE REACHED 40 KT...WHILE BUOY 42058 FLUCTUATING 10-12 FT PAST FEW HOURS. WW3 SEEMS TO BE VERIFYING FAIRLY WELL ACROSS THE BROAD BASIN BUT LIKELY LOW BY 2 FT OR SO OFF OF COLOMBIA. STRONG AND COMPLEX TROPICAL WAVE HAS RACED ACROSS THE BASIN PAST 2 DAYS AND IS PRESENTLY ALONG 84W. DEEP CNVTN IS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS TODAY AS WAVE MOVES WWD AND STRONG TRADES SPREAD INTO NICARAGUAN COAST. NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W S OF 20N. THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO RACE WWD AND REACH 60W THU... 68W FRI...76W SAT...AND CENTRAL AMERICA SUN. ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...BROAD ZONE OF SAL MOVING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF NEXT LARGE AMPLITUDE WAVE ALONG 45W ATTM. LONG FETCH OF AROUND 20 KT WITH AREAS TO 25 KT ACCOMPANYING THESE PAST 2 WAVES HAS GENERATED A LARGER AREA OF 8 FT SEAS THAN MODELS HAVE DEPICTED...AND WAVE CONTINUE HAVE TO EXPAND AND INCREASE SEAS ACROSS THIS AREA. BUOY 41098 IN COASTAL WATERS OF MARTINIQUE HAS BEEN FLUCTUATING 8-9 FT ...WHILE 42060 HAS BEEN 7-8 FT IN ELY SWELL BLEEDING THROUGH THE ISLANDS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH NEXT 24-36 HOURS THEN INCREASE MODESTLY BEHIND NEXT WAVE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS ATLC RIDGE REMAINS WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC EXTENDING WWD ALONG 28N-29N TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS...AND WILL LINGER THROUGH SUN BEFORE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT WWD AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. LIGHT TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC SFC FLOW TO PREVAIL DURING THE PERIOD WITH FRESH TRADES S OF 22N ACROSS SE PORTIONS REMAINING E OF 76W THROUGH FRI. DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT ALONG N COAST OF HISPANIOLA MAY REACH NEAR 30 KT AND SEAS 7-9 FT EACH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N74W TODAY. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY DUE TO AN OMEGA BLOCK. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS SE OF THE CENTER MOSTLY N OF THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS NEAR 25N70W. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING TODAY INTO FRI. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER FORMOSA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.