000
AGXX40 KNHC 311748
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
148 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR
WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE

WEAK TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF MOVING INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF DIURNALLY THROUGH TUE. OTHERWISE WEAK RIDGING WILL
MAINTAIN MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. A STRONGER TROUGH MAY MOVE FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN INTO THE
SE GULF WED INTO THU. SEAS ARE IN THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER MOST OF THE
GULF EXCEPT FOR SEAS OF 1-2 FT NE OF A LINE FROM 30N89W TO
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR
WAVES.

TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND E
CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED AS A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN MOVES ACROSS THE BASIN WITH ATLC HIGH PRES BUILDING SW
TO WARD THE E CARIBBEAN IN ITS WAKE. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE
NW CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED...THEN LIFT NNE AS A TROUGH OR LOW AS IT
APPROACHES THE FAR SE GULF OF MEXICO THU. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT
RANGE S OF 18N E OF 81W  AND LOWER SEAS OF 1-3 FT W OF 81W AND IN
THE FAR NE CARIBBEAN. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC PEAK SEA HEIGHTS ARE
DUE TO E SWELLS WITH SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE S OF 15N AND SEAS
OF 5-7 FT N OF 15N.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED
FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO 27N70W WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT APPROACHES THE BAHAMAS
TONIGHT AND MON. OTHERWISE A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL REMAIN
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. A TROUGH MAY LIFT NE FROM THE NW
CARIBBEAN TO THE FAR WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA WED AND THU.
SEAS IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE...EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SEAS OF 6-7 FT N OF
30N E OF 74W...AND LOWER SEAS OF 1-2 FT TO THE SW OF THE BAHAMAS.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.