000
AGXX40 KNHC 151731
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
131 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.
LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC EXTENDS A RIDGE ACROSS
THE GULF WATERS PRODUCING MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS AND
SEAS UNDER 5 FT. BY SAT THE PRES GRADIENT WILL SLIGHTLY TIGHTEN
BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND LOWER PRES OVER TEXAS BRINGING SOME INCREASE
IN WINDS AND SEAS. AS A RESULT MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE WINDS
WILL BE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE WITH BUILDING SEAS OF
7-8 FT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BY EARLY SUN.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...UPDATED

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.
LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC...WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 10-14 FT FROM 11N-15N
BETWEEN 72W-80W AND 8-10 FT ELSEWHERE FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 70W-82W.
THE SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST.
LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 27N65W TO 27N73W THEN STATIONARY TO
29N81W WILL MOVE MAINLY S ACROSS THE AREA E OF THE BAHAMAS
REACHING 24N-25N THIS EVENING...AND THE SE OF THE AREA SAT WHILE
DISSIPATING. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.
HIGH PRES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA THIS
WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 27N AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH WINDS S OF 27N...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FRESH WINDS JUST N OF
HISPANIOLA W OF 70W AND NEAR THE APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.
HIGH PRES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA THIS
WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 27N AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH WINDS S OF 27N...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FRESH WINDS JUST N OF
HISPANIOLA W OF 70W AND NEAR THE APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.