000 AGXX40 KNHC 120602 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 102 AM EST MON JAN 12 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE FAR NW WATERS WITH A STATIONARY FRONT/TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE WATERS...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NW WATERS WHERE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NE WATERS WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE. THE LOW WILL SHIFT N OF THE AREA TODAY AND DRAG ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY MIDWEEK. A REINFORCING NORTHERLY SURGE WILL HELP PUSH THE BOUNDARY SE OF THE AREA BY LATE THU NIGHT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL BE FOUND W OF THE FRONT BY MIDWEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-13 FT RANGE OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...9-11 FT RANGE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 9-13 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER THIS MORNING. THE RIDGE N OF THE AREA THAT HAS BEEN PROVIDING THE STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL RETREAT EASTWARD STARTING TODAY. THIS WILL BRING A DECREASE TO WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH WINDS AND SEAS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BY THU. NE TO E SWELL IS PEAKING NEAR 13 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE SWELL WILL START TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY...AND BY FRIDAY SEAS WILL FINALLY SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 2-4 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS TODAY. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE STALLING AND DISSIPATING. A STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS BY THU. THIS FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO E CUBA BY FRIDAY NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL W OF THE FRONT WITH BUILDING SEAS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING THIS MORNING. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.