000 AGXX40 KNHC 041907 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 207 PM EST WED DEC 4 2013 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. MWW3 GUIDANCE USED FOR SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE NE OF THE AREA IS SUPPORTING S-SE WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE BASIN. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW OVER THE GULF. SEAS ARE 3-5 FT IN THE WESTERN GULF AND 1-3 FT ELSEWHERE. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT FURTHER EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO REACH THE NW GULF LATE THU NIGHT OR EARLY FRI AND PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH FRI NIGHT... REACHING FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TO VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL STALL SUN FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO SE LOUISIANA THROUGH A WEAK LOW PRES NEAR 26N96W TO VERACRUZ. STRONG N WINDS APPROACHING GALE FORCE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FRI THROUGH SAT. CANNOT RULE OUT FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE IN FAR WRN PORTION OF ZONE 1 NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO FRI NIGHT AND SAT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8-10 FT BEHIND THE FRONT FRI INTO SAT THEN DECREASE SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHWARD INTO TEXAS WILL BRING A PUSH OF REINFORCING COLD AIR...WITH THE FRONT SURGING SOUTHWARD AGAIN BY MON NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. MWW3 GUIDANCE USED FOR SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN CONTINUES OVER CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS WHILE LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 3-5 FT IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...1-3 FT IN MOST OF THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC. FRESH SE WINDS THIS MORNING IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS INCREASED LOCAL SEAS TO 5-6 FT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND THU BEHIND A COLD FRONT MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE W ATLC...TIGHTENING THE PRES GRADIENT TO INCREASE WINDS TO FRESH TO STRONG IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN BY THU NIGHT. LONG PERIOD NE SWELL WILL REACH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF TROPICAL N ATLC LATE FRI NIGHT THEN SPREAD SOUTHWARD THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MON... THEN SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH MON NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL ALLOW SEAS TO BUILD TO 9-10 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MON AND MON NIGHT AS STRONG HIGH PRES MOVES OFF EAST COAST OF THE US. ...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL. MWW3 GUIDANCE USED FOR SEAS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRES CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N74W PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRES BUILDING N OF THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH FRI WILL STRENGTHEN NE WINDS S OF 23N AND ALLOW A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 22N58W TO THE MONA PASSAGE TO TRANSITION INTO A SHEAR LINE. FRESH NE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 7-8 FT CAN BE EXPECTED N OF THE SHEAR LINE THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 30N FRI THROUGH SUN NIGHT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD MON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH OFF THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA MON NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED N OF THE BAHAMAS ON MON AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...NONE. AMZ113...NONE. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.