000
AGXX40 KNHC 181846
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
146 PM EST MON NOV 18 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WINDS.
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST AND MWW3 FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATER TODAY AND EXTEND
FROM TAMPA BAY TO NE MEXICO TUE...THEN WEAKEN FROM SW FLORIDA TO
THE S TEXAS COAST WED. WINDS WILL NOT INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT
UNTIL TUE. BY WED THE COLD FRONT WEAKENS FROM SW FLORIDA TO
25N97W...AND THE WINDS DECREASE. THE FRONT THEN DISSIPATES ON
THU. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WINDS.
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST AND MWW3 FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WITH THE ABSENCE OF THE ATLC RIDGE THE TRADES WILL BE LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA IS
GENERATING LARGE NE SWELL THAT ARE APPROACHING THE ATLC PASSAGES.
LARGE NE SWELLS ARE ALSO MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE. THE SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO SUBSIDE BY THU.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WINDS.
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST AND MWW3 FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST LATER TODAY WILL REACH
FROM 31N71W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA TUE AND FROM 28N65W TO CENTRAL
FLORIDA WED THEN BECOME DIFFUSE ALONG 27N THU. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT...TO 20-25 KT AND 8-10 FT..TUE AND
WED. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT TUE THROUGH FRI WITH
SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.