000
AGXX40 KNHC 170556
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
156 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO S TEXAS WILL EXTEND FROM
MISSISSIPPI TO NE MEXICO LATER TODAY. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY
FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO S TEXAS TONIGHT. REINFORCING SURGE
ON SAT ALLOWS FRONT TO MOVE S AGAIN BEFORE STALLING AGAIN LATE SUN
AND MON. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION...EXCEPT THE FAR NW GULF...THROUGH MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD TROUGH STRETCHING
FROM W OF BERMUDA ACROSS BAHAMAS AND CUBA PRODUCING LARGE AREA OF
LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRI OR
SAT. TROUGHING N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS AND LIGHT SEAS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH SUN. 3-4 FT
E TO NE SWELL WILL AFFECT THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH FRI.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD TROUGHING ACROSS THE
REGION WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS AND LIGHT SEAS
THROUGH MON.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.