000
AGXX40 KNHC 120603
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
203 AM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE N PART OF THE AREA. WINDS ARE
10-15 KT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITH LIGHT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
GULF. SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GULF ARE IN THE 3-4 FT RANGE AND 1-2
FT OVER THE EASTERN GULF. THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE N PART OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD MAINTAINING GENTLE TO
MODERATE RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS
COAST TUE NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

TROPICAL WAVE S OF 22N ALONG 62W WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
SUN AND SUN NIGHT AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN MON. NE SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN AND NE PORTIONS OF THE
TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SEAS IN THE 5-7 FT
RANGE. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND 3-4 FT OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS. E
SWELLS GENERATED BY STRONG WINDS NORTH OF A LOW PRES SYSTEM IN THE
CENTRAL ATLC ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC SAT NIGHT
AND SUN...THEN SUBSIDE TUE AND WED.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N70W TO 26N73W TO EASTERN CUBA.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ARE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA WITH SEAS IN THE
4-5 FT RANGE E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE
STATIONARY FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH LATER TODAY AND MEANDER
OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN OVER THE AREA WITH LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.