000
AGXX40 KNHC 091851
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
251 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT HAS MOVED SE OF THE AREA. HIGH PRES BUILDING SOUTHWARD
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SLIDE EASTWARD THU THROUGH SUN
ALLOWING SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW TO SET UP ACROSS THE NW GULF. SEAS
REMAIN 3 FT OR LESS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEAK THEN INCREASE SOME
IN THE WESTERN GULF WITH THE RETURN SLY FLOW.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

WEAK HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN N OF THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74W WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE W CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI AND INLAND SAT. A TIGHTENING PRES
GRADIENT BEHIND THE WAVE WILL INCREASE TRADE WINDS IN THE S
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU THEN DECREASE FRI AND INTO THE
WEEKEND. NE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRES SYSTEM IN THE
CENTRAL ATLC ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO IMPACT THE NE PORTION OF THE
TROPICAL N ATLC THU...AND CONTINUE INTO MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

LOW PRES NEAR 29N78W WITH A WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW TO
WESTERN CUBA. THE FRONT WILL TRANSITION TO A TROUGH FROM THE
BAHAMAS TO WESTERN CUBA BY THIS EVENING. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL REMAIN OVER FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA NEAR THE NE FLORIDA
COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN DECREASE AS THE LOW LIFTS NE AWAY
FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. OTHERWISE WEAK PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.