000
AGXX40 KNHC 081806
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
206 PM EDT TUE OCT 8 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW FLORIDA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. BUOY
DATA INDICATE 4-6 FT SEAS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE FRONT...BUT SEAS
ARE PROBABLY 7-8 FT NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE FRONT
WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME STATIONARY LATE TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
STEADILY DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE FRONT
BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE. HIGH PRES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH FRI. SLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NW
GULF FRI THROUGH SUN.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

WEAK HIGH PRES N OF AREA WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE 
WINDS ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH TONIGHT. STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL ALLOW E WINDS TO STRENGTHEN IN THE S
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED THROUGH FRI. 6-7 FT LONG PERIOD NE SWELL
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRES SYSTEM IN THE CENTRAL ATLC IS EXPECTED
TO REACH THE NE PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THU...AND SUBSIDE
TO 5-6 FT AS IT SPREADS SOUTHWARD BY SAT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. 
GOOD CONFIDENCE.

LOW PRES NEAR JACKSONVILLE IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER AROUND 30N80W 
THROUGH FRI AS THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS FLORIDA WEAKENS 
AND BECOMES DIFFUSE THROUGH WED NIGHT. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN 
THIS LOW AND STRONG HIGH PRES ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL 
PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF S GEORGIA... 
AND SEAS TO 6-7 FT IN FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH 
THU. WEAK PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.