000
AGXX40 KNHC 261730
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EDT MON AUG 26 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERNAND INLAND NEAR 20.5N98W MOVING SLOWLY W 
AND WEAKENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AS FERNAND 
MOVES FURTHER INLAND AS A REMNANT LOW...BUT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 
SCATTERED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO THIS 
EVENING. A BROAD LOW-MID LEVEL WIND SURGE WELL AHEAD OF TROPICAL 
WAVE IN W-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS INDUCING LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE 
CONVERGENCE IN THE SW GULF WITH DEEP CONVECTION. WEAK STATIONARY 
FRONT IN NE GULF WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE. A WEAK HIGH WILL 
SETTLE ACROSS LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUE AND WED AND PRODUCE 
LIGHT TO MODERATE ELY FLOW ACROSS BASIN. THE HIGH SHIFTS SLOWLY 
SOUTHWARD THROUGH FRI...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE 
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN GULF THU AND FRI.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS

TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO W CARIBBEAN EXPECTED TO REACH CENTRAL 
AMERICA TUE NIGHT OR WED. MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF WAVE 
AXIS SUPPORTING ACTIVE CONVECTION W OF 77W TODAY. SCATTEROMETER 
SHOWS ENHANCED EASTERLY FLOW S OF HISPANIOLA E OF THE WAVE WITH 
WINDS TO 25 KT AND 8-9 FT SEAS BETWEEN 15N AND 17N. WINDS AND 
SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE BASIN TONIGHT AS A WEAK 
ATLC RIDGE SHIFTS NE AND THE WAVE MOVES FURTHER W...LEAVING A 
LOW-LEVEL WEAKNESS ACROSS TROPICAL ATLC ALONG 10-12N ASSOCIATED 
WITH MONSOON TROUGH TO ABOUT 58W BY TUE...AND PRODUCE MODERATE 
TRADES ACROSS THE BASIN. A HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED 
TO REACH TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WED EVENING WITH WIND MAX AROUND 
20 KT TO ENTER REGION N OF 18N...AND SEAS TO 7 FT IN E-NE SWELL.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS 

E COAST UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG S ACROSS FLORIDA PENINSULA 
AND NUDGE STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS TO N-CENTRAL 
FLORIDA SLIGHTLY SOUTHWARD. ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED TO PUSH S-SE 
ACROSS N BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS 
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WEAK ATLC 
RIDGE BECOMES WELL ESTABLISHED ALONG 28-29 N BY TUE NIGHT OR WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.