000
AGXX40 KNHC 071825
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
225 PM EDT SUN JUL 7 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF/OFFICIAL BLEND WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.

ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE FLOWS ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA INTO GULF
OF MEXICO AND SURFACE TROUGH NOW INLAND TEXAS AND ITS COASTAL
WATERS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION AND GUSTY WINDS W
OF 95W MAKES UNEASY MARINE CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE...ATLC SURFACE
RIDGE EXTENDS W ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL GULF WATERS WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE BREEZE AND SEAS 3-5 FT OVER REMAINING OF BASIN. RIDGE TO 
EXTEND INTO NORTHWESTERN GULF ONCE SURFACE TROUGH IS WELL INLAND
TONIGHT AND MON AND BRING MORE BENIGN WEATHER THROUGH REMAINDER
OF FORECAST PERIOD.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF/OFFICIAL BLEND WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE
THROUGH FRI EXCEPT FOLLOWING INVEST TRACK FOR LOW PRES.

TROPICAL WAVE S OF HISPANIOLA MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 10 FT FROM 68W TO 76W
PROPAGATING W THROUGH FRI. ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF AREA
MAINTAINS MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WITH SEAS 4-7 FT THROUGH EARLY
TUE. LOW PRES CENTER NOW AT 09N41W...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...
MOVING RAPIDLY W-NW ENTERS TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS MON NIGHT AND
INTO THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF EASTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS EARLY TUE.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRES
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...               
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF/OFFICIAL BLEND WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE
THROUGH FRI EXCEPT FOLLOWING INVEST TRACK FOR LOW PRES.

HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 32N N OF REGION MAINTAINS A GENTLE TO
MODERATE NE TO E BREEZE FLOWING ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN...EXCEPT
STRONGER AND GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH CREST OF
TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER HAITI. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH WAVE DETERIORATES MARINE CONDITIONS
TEMPORARILY S OF 24N. RIDGE REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH WED THEN
DRIFT SE THU AND FRI WHILE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO BE W OF BASIN BY
THAT TIME. NORTHERN EXTENT OF SECOND AND MUCH STRONGER SYSTEM...
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...MOVES INTO SE PORTION OF BASIN LATE
TUE AND MOVE W THROUGH FRI. SYSTEM WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN WINDS AND SEAS WATERS S OF 24N.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.