000
AGXX40 KNHC 201853
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
253 PM EDT THU JUN 20 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF CONSENSUS WITH NHC ADVISORY FOR BARRY.

T.S. BARRY WENT INLAND JUST NORTH OF VERACRUZ MEXICO EARLIER THIS
MORNING. WIND AND SEAS QUICKLY DIMINISHING OVER GULF WATERS AND .
ADVISORIES ARE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 2100 UTC. REMNANTS OF BARRY
...POSSIBLY A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING W
AWAY FROM BASIN. FRESH TO STRONG E-SE WINDS AND SEAS TO 10 FT AS
MEASURED BY MEXICAN BUOY CS3 LINGER OVER SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
WHILE SEA CONDITIONS ABATE...HEAVY RAINFALL WITH HIGH DOWNSLOPE 
RUNOFF REMAINS BARRY'S MAIN THREAT. 

ELSEWHERE...WEAK RIDGE ALONG 27N DRIFT N TO ALONG 30N AND MAINTAIN
GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE BREEZE THROUGH TUE. TROPICAL WAVE
CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS NE CARIBBEAN AND ADJACENT ATLC EXPECTED
TO ENTER NE GULF WATERS LATE SAT AND SUN WITH INCREASE IN GUSTY
WIND AND SEAS AS WELL AS POSSIBLE STRONG CONVECTION LASTING INTO
MON.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF CONSENSUS

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES PERSIST ACROSS MOST OF BASIN WITH SHIP
REPORTS CONFIRMING RECENT SCAT PASSES SHOWING PEAK WINDS AT 25 KT
WITH HIGHEST SEA HEIGHT NEAR 11 FT...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TROPICAL
WAVE WHERE GUSTY WINDS NEAR TSTMS MAY BUILD SEAS HIGHER. WAVE IS
CURRENTLY UNDER A DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT ENHANCING ITS CONVECTION. 
MODEL GUIDANCE MAINTAIN WAVE MOVING W-NW THROUGH SUN AFFECTING
MAINLY WATERS N OF 17N. 

SECOND TROPICAL WAVE ENTER TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS S OF 16N EARLY
SUN AND INTO EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUN AND MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/ECMWF/UKMET CONSENSUS

BROAD E-W RIDGE ALONG 28N MOVE N TO ALONG 31N MAINTAINING MODERATE
TO FRESH E-NE BREEZE OVER MOST OF BASIN...EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF
HEALTHY TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 71W. WAVE MOVES W-NW AND
REACH WINDWARD PASSAGE AND SE BAHAMAS EARLY TONIGHT...CENTRAL
CUBA AND NW BAHAMAS LATE FRI...AND ALONG W COAST OF FLORIDA
LATE SAT. GLOBAL MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT IN WAVE POSITION.
STRONG E-SE BREEZE EXPECTED BEHIND WAVE S OF 24N AS IT MOVES THROUGH
BASIN THROUGH SAT MORNING...WITH SEAS BUILDING 7-8 FT.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE WARNING TODAY.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.