000
AGXX40 KNHC 101800
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST GFS 
AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF FROM THE W ATLC. SOUTHEASTERLY
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE BASIN WITH 1-3 FT 
ACROSS THE NE THIRD OF THE GULF...AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE. A HIGH 
WILL BREAK OFF FROM THIS RIDGE...FORMING OVER THE NE GULF BY 
TONIGHT SLOWLY SETTLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH FRI. AS 
THE HIGH MEANDERS OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF...WINDS WILL BE 
MAINLY LIGHT...WITH 1-3 FT SEAS EVERYWHERE BY END OF THE WEEK.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGING WILL PERSIST N OF THE BASIN THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST 
PERIOD SUPPORTING MAINLY FRESH TO STRONG TRADES IN THE CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE 
TROPICAL N ATLC. EXPECT DIURNAL VARIABILITY OF WINDS IN THE GULF 
OF HONDURAS TO 20 KT LATE AT NIGHT THROUGH FRI. THE RIDGE N OF 
THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVING OFF THE S.E. COAST PUSHES THE RIDGE EASTWARD. THIS 
WILL BRIEFLY WEAKEN TRADES IN THE CARIBBEAN WHILE STRENGTHENING 
TRADE WINDS IN THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLC FRI AND SAT. NORTHERN PART 
OF TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 65W WILL BRING SHOWERY WEATHER CONDITIONS 
TO THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA THROUGH WED. A WEAKER 
TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE IN THE WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH WED...THEN WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHWARD THU AHEAD 
OF COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA 
ON FRI. THE FRONT WILL PUSH E-SE ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS SAT WITH 
FRESH NE WINDS DEVELOPING OVER FAR NE PORTION BEHIND THE FRONT. 
TROPICAL WAVE IN THE BAHAMAS ALONG 77W WILL MOVE NW AND WEAKEN 
TO REMNANT TROUGH NEAR S FLORIDA TUE. WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED 
WITH THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH TUE.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.