000
AGXX40 KNHC 081750
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
150 PM EDT SAT JUN 8 2013

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...                                        
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST GFS 
AND ECMWF. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

ATLC RIDGE EDGING INTO THE EASTERN GULF WILL BECOME DOMINATE 
SURFACE FEATURE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW 
AROUND WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WILL SUPPORT MODERATE E TO 
S WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH TUE. A LOW PRES SYSTEM 
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP N OF THE AREA MON EVENING AND DRAG A COLD 
FRONT OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST TUE...WHICH WILL ALLOW HIGH PRES 
TO BUILD OVER THE NE GULF TUE NIGHT AND WED...THEN PERSIST THU. 
WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS TONGUE OF HIGHER SEAS 5-6 FT SPREADING 
N-NW FROM THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION OF 
LOUISIANA THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON...SUBSIDING TO 4-5 FT EARLY MON. 
EXPECT 3-5 FT SEAS ELSEWHERE THROUGH THU.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC...                      
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

PERSISTENT RIDGE N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC WATERS WILL 
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUE MORNING. FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY 
TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND 
MAINTAIN SEAS TO 9-10 FT BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. SEAS WILL BE 5-7 
FT IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING 
HOURS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...FROM STRONGER DIURNAL WINDS 
THAT WILL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA. A TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED ALONG 
63W WILL GRADUALLY DAMPEN OUT AS IT CONTINUES MOVING NW AROUND 
15 KT INTO THE SW N ATLC. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE S OF 10N ALONG 
48W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION THIS WEEKEND WITH 
HIGHEST WINDS FOUND BETWEEN 10N-12N BEFORE MOVING INTO VENEZUELA 
MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...                    
MODEL PREFERENCE: BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH THE LATEST 
GFS AND ECMWF. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA DOMINATES THE 
BASIN...AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH ONLY MINOR VARIABILITY 
THROUGH TUE. MODERATE TO FRESH E-SE WILL WINDS PREVAIL...EXCEPT 
NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N...ALONG WITH 4-7 FT SEAS E OF THE 
BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 63W WILL MOVE THROUGH SE PORTION 
THROUGH SUN WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 8-10 FT SEAS THROUGH 
SUN...THEN WEAKEN AND GRADUALLY BECOME DIFFUSE NEAR THE BAHAMAS 
SUN NIGHT AND MON. ASSOCIATED WINDS DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KT 
TONIGHT...WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT EARLY MON. THE 
REMNANTS OF THE WAVE...IN THE FORM OF A TROUGH...APPROACH THE 
FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE MON. HIGH PRES WILL REBUILD ACROSS THE 
REGION AFTER THE WAVE PASSES.

$$
.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.