000
AGXX40 KNHC 141744
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WITH A TIGHT ENOUGH 
PRES GRADIENT ACROSS THE SE GULF FOR NE WINDS 15-20 KT. THE HIGH 
MOVES E AND THE GRADIENT RELAXES THIS EVENING AND THE WINDS 
DECREASE. A WEAK COLD FRONT BRUSHES THE N PORTION OF THE AREA 
MON. A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE LATE THU AND EXTENDS 
FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO S TEXAS FRI. NE WINDS INCREASE TO 
15-20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT FRI. OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS 
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL JUST SE OF THE 
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 20.0N 64.1W AT 1500 UTC MOVING NNW AT 
10 KT. RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA 
TONIGHT. RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY TO A HURRICANE MON 
EVENING NEAR 25.5N 88.2W. RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE NE OF THE 
AREA TUE NIGHT. SWELLS SUBSIDE TO BELOW 8 FT BY WED AFTERNOON. 
WEAK PRES PATTERN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MOSTLY LIGHT 
WINDS.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 20.0N 64.1W AT 1500 UTC MOVING NNW AT 
10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 KT WITH GUST TO 60 
KT...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 997 MB. RAFAEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE 
NW OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH DECREASING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS 
MON NIGHT. OTHERWISE A WEAK PRES PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH 
THE END OF THE WEEK WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS.

NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AMZ025.

SW N ATLANTIC...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AMZ119...AMZ121...AMZ125...AMZ127.
  
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS