000 AGXX40 KNHC 170546 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 145 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN GULF WATERS. RECENT SCATTEROMETER...SHIP...CMAN...AND BUOY DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WITH SEAS 2 TO 3 FT PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WATERS. THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW GULF WATERS BY EARLY TUE. THE FRONT WILL MERGE WITH THE TROUGH AND STALL OVER THE SE PART OF THE GULF AND WED AND THU THEN BECOME DIFFUSE BY FRI. WINDS WILL FRESHEN AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE NE GULF WATERS TUE. NLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT ARE EXPECTED BRIEFLY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT N OF 28N THROUGH WED. OTHERWISE MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... HIGH PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED INTO THE SW N ATLC WATERS AND HELPED PUSH THE SURFACE TROUGH E OF THE FORECAST AREA. SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM NADINE HAVE SUBSIDED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST SCATTEROMETER...SHIP...AND BUOY DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE WITH SEAS 4 TO 5 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS AND SEAS 1 TO 3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. WINDS HAVE VEERED TO THE S AND SW OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE REGION...AND WILL PREVAIL FROM THAT DIRECTION THROUGH WED AS HIGH PRES MOVES EWD ACROSS THE W ATLC. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NW PART OF THE AREA WED WHERE IT IS FORECAST TO STALL. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA FRI. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... BASED ON THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER...SHIP AND BUOY DATA...GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...EXCEPT FOR MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS. A 1011 MB LOW PRES AREA THAT DEVELOPED ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE E CARIBBEAN TODAY. THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS TUE AND WED AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WATERS THU AND FRI...REACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FRI. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THU...AND MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN WATERS FRI. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL