000
AGXX40 KNHC 051746
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE WESTERN EXTENSION OF THE W ATLC RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN 
GULF OF MEXICO WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. A WEAK 
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NE GULF LATE MON INTO TUE THEN LIFT TO 
THE NE WED. TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CURRENTLY IN THE CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND WED...THEN MOVE INTO THE SW 
GULF THU AND INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE IN THE FAR SW GULF 
FRI.

SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IN THE CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA IS PRODUCING ELY WINDS 
20-25 KT WINDS IN THE SW PORTION OF THE AREA S OF 24N W OF 78W. 
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN 20 KT TUE AS ERNESTO MOVES 
W AND THE HIGH MOVES E RELAXING THE GRADIENT. TROPICAL STORM 
FLORENCE WELL E OF THE OFFSHORE AREA IS FORECAST CLIP THE FAR SE 
PORTION OF THE AREA AS A REMNANT LOW FRI.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W...
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO CURRENTLY NEAR 15.0N 77.1W AT 1500 UTC 
MOVING W 20 KT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUST TO 
55W THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1006 MB. ERNESTO WILL MOVE TO 
15.4N 81.8W MON WITH WINDS REMAINING AT 45 KT. ERNESTO THEN 
MOVES TO 16.5N 85.3W WED WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 55 KT GUST TO 
65W.....THEN MOVES INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TUE NIGHT 
AND WED. TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAY IN THE ATLC WILL APPROACH 
THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WED NIGHT INTO THU AS A TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION.

NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING AMZ019-021-029-031.

SW N ATLANTIC...
.NONE.
  
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS