000 AGXX40 KNHC 240709 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 310 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... WESTERN EXTENSION OF ATLC SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS BROKEN BY A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM TALLAHASSEE TO NEAR 26N87W. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT SOUTH TODAY AND BUILD WWD THROUGH SAT. LIGHT TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION...WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WED THROUGH SAT UNDER WEAK HIGH PRES. SEAS WILL BE GENERALLY 3 FT OR LESS EXCEPT FOR A FEW AREAS OF 3-4 FT SEAS IN SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE GULF. NORTHERN PORTION OF TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74W WILL REACH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THU AND FRI WITH AN INCREASE IN NE TO E WINDS. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 28N WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THU AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST SKIRTS THE FAR NE CORNER OF ZONES AMZ113 AND AMZ115. W-SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT IN BOTH ZONES WED AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. A BLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS WAS USED FOR TIMING OF THE FRONT. IF THE FRONT DROPS FURTHER S INTO THE AREA WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM W-SW TO NW N OF 30N...BUT WILL BE LIGHTER AS THE MAIN ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT SWEEPS TO THE NE. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE S OF 23N THROUGH SAT. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG E-NE WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BETWEEN 68-82W THROUGH WED. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 74W WILL MOVE W THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH LATE WED THEN MOVE W OF THE AREA INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THU. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 65W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WED-THU...AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN FRI-SAT. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE FORECAST IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL