000 AGXX40 KNHC 271741 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 145 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE SE LA COAST WILL SHIFT SE AND BECOME ABSORBED AND MEANDER WITHIN A RIDGE AXIS THAT IS SETTING UP FROM THE FL STRAITS TO THE NE TX COAST THROUGH FRI WITH SLY RETURN FLOW INCREASING TO 15-20 KT OVER THE NW GULF WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI. THE LOCAL EVENING ENHANCEMENT OF NE WINDS SHOULD MAX AT ONLY 15 KT ALONG THE W COAST OF THE YUCATAN JUST THIS EVENING. IN THE MEANTIME SUBTROPICAL/TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND NEAR THE E GA/FL BORDER AND MOVE W INCREASING THE SLY TO 15 KT WINDS OVER THE NE GULF...BASICALLY N OF 28N E OF 85W BEGINNING LATE MON AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUE. BLENDED GFS/ECMWF FOR PACKAGE. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... THE EASTERLY WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 20 KT IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS. THE E TRADES CONTINUE AT 20-25 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 67W-77W WITH THE AFFECTED AREA EXPECTED TO SHIFT W TO BETWEEN 66W-79W ON MON...AND BETWEEN 67W-85W ON TUE BUT DIMINISHING TO 15-20 KT BY THEN. THE TRADES WILL CLOCK TO THE SE AT 15-20 KT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS E OF 78W THU AND FRI. E WINDS AT MOSTLY 15 KT EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TROPICAL WATERS THROUGH FRI AS APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVES LOSE IDENTITY AT THE SURFACE BEFORE REACHING ALONG 55W AFTER ENCOUNTERING AN UPPER TROUGH WITH ITS AXIS N-S OVER THE TROPICAL WATERS. BLENDED GFS/ECMWF FOR PACKAGE. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... SUBTROPICAL/TROPICAL STORM BERYL CENTERED NEAR 30N79W AT SUNRISE THIS MORNING STILL FORECAST TO MOVE JUST S OF DUE W AND INLAND NEAR THE GA/FL BORDER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE W REACHING FURTHER INLAND ON MON BEFORE ACCELERATING NE ON TUE MOVING BACK OVER WATER N OF THE AREA AND SLOWLY REGAINING STORM STRENGTH THU AND FRI. THE ASSOCIATED RADIUS OF 20 KT WIND WILL EFFECT THE MARINE AREA N OF 27N W OF 73W THROUGH MON NIGHT...THEN EFFECT THE AREA N OF 27N TUE NIGHT THROUGH LATE THU NIGHT AS THE CYCLONE DRAGS A TROUGH E ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS. FURTHER S...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE N BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED THEN SHIFT A LITTLE S WED NIGHT AND THU AS THE TROUGH PASSES E ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 27N...WITH THE RIDGE SHIFTING N ACROSS THE N BAHAMAS ON FRI. USING A BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF FOR GRIDS. NOTE...GRIDDED MARINE OUTPUT IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TAFB/GRIDDED_MARINE (LOWER CASE) GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. SW N ATLANTIC... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AMZ111. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON