000
AGXX40 KNHC 010906
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0350 AM EST SUN JAN 01 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES CENTER 1024 MB OVER NE GULF WATERS EXTENDS RIDGE W TO 
SE TX COAST.  RIDGE SHIFT E ALLOWING COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO NW 
WATERS TODAY.  FAST MOVING FRONT REACH FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO 
BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND SE OF AREA MON NIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE 
BRING GALE FORCE WINDS W OF FRONT S OF 23N BY MON QUICKLY 
DIMINISHING TO A STRONG BREEZE MON NIGHT.  ASSOCIATED SEAS BUILD 
12-13 FT OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE MON NIGHT...QUICKLY SUBSIDE 
AS STRONG N FLOW EFFECTIVELY CLOSES OVER SW GULF DURING TUE 
NIGHT.  NE WINDS ALSO DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA 
WED.  SECOND HIGH PRES CENTER 1026 MB SHIFT SE OVER N-CENTRAL 
GULF WATERS WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OVER WATERS W OF 90W. 

SOUTHWEST N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W...
COLD FRONT MOVE ENTER NW CORNER OF BASIN TONIGHT AND REACH FROM 
BERMUDA TO E CUBA LATE MON NIGHT.  GALE FORCE NW WINDS FOLLOW 
BOUNDARY AND SEAS BUILD TO 22 FT N OF 27N BY TUE NIGHT.  MODEL  
GUIDANCE AGREE ON AREAL COVERAGE BUT DISAGREE WITH STRENGTH OF 
MAXIMUM WINDS.  FORECAST HOLDS IT BELOW 40 KT ANYWHERE S OF 
31N.  GALE CONDITIONS SHIFT E OF 65W TUE NIGHT.  

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
STRONG TO NEAR GALE NE-E TRADES CONTINUE OVER CARIBBEAN AND 
STRONG BREEZE ELSEWHERE S OF 18N E OF 85W.  WINDS DIMINISH TUE E 
OF 85W AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WHILE INCREASING OVER NW AND OVER 
SW CARIBBEAN LATER BEHIND STRONG COLD FRONT.  COLD FRONT STALL 
OVER TROPICAL ATLC WATERS N OF VIRGIN ISLANDS TUE NIGHT THEN 
DRIFT W WED BUT SEND ANOTHER ROUND OF LARGE LONG PERIOD NW 
SWELLS THROUGH TROPICAL WATERS N OF 16N WED AND THU. 

WARNINGS...

GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ082...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 23N W OF 95W MON. 

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
.NONE.

.SW N ATLC...
.AMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 27N W OF FRONT MON NIGHT.
    
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES