000 AGXX40 KNHC 231755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 23 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES OVER THE SE U.S. CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MUCH OF THE GULF THROUGH MON WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE SE GULF MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN LOW PRES IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND HIGH PRES OVER THE SE U.S. THE LOW AND THE HIGH BOTH WEAKEN WED AND THE WINDS DECREASE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS COAST LATE THU. THE FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE AREA FRI EXTENDING FROM SE LOUISIANA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECEN FRI AFTERNOON. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW PART OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE THEN E OF THE AREA BY TUE NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH NLY WINDS INCREASING 15-20 KT N OF AROUND 27N TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT THEN DECREASE THU AND FRI. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... LOW PRES...1006 MB...IN THE THE SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 14N81W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE NWD. THERE A CHANCE THE THE LOW WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROUGH IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SUN NIGHT...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT AND INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATE WED NIGHT THEN STALL IN THE SW CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS