000 AGXX40 KNHC 010614 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 220 AM EDT SAT OCT 01 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT FROM FL BIG BEND TO NE MEXICO WILL SLOW AS IT REACHES FROM FL STRAITS TO YUCATAN PENINSULA AROUND SUNSET TODAY...THEN GRADUALLY WASH OUT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN ON SUN. SURFACE WINDS TO THE N OF THE FRONT ARE ALREADY AT 20-25 KT ON ELEVATED PLATFORMS. EXPECT WINDS TO DIMINISH BELOW 20 KT EARLY SUN EXCEPT OVER THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE NW-N FLOW WILL CONTINUE AT 20 KT TILL AROUND MIDNIGHT SUN NIGHT BEFORE THE GRADIENT RELAXES AND ONLY SUPPORTS NE 10-15 KT THROUGH TUE. SURFACE WINDS BECOME SE OVER NW GULF TUE NIGHT AND WED WHILE A POST-FRONTAL SURGE WILL INCREASE NE WINDS TO 15-20 KT OVER WATERS E OF 85W. CARIBBEAN SEA... EASTERLY TRADES ALREADY RESUMING OVER E CARIBBEAN AT 15-20 KT AND EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS TO SPREAD W TO ALONG 75W EARLY SUN. NE FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE NW WATERS TO 15 KT SUN BEHIND WEAKENING COLD FRONT. GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX THROUGHOUT CARIBBEAN SEA ON MON NIGHT...AND CONTINUES THROUGH WED...AS TROPICAL CYCLONE PHILIPPE TRACKS W OVER ATLC ALONG ABOUT 26N-27N. TROPICAL N ATLC AND SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... HURCN OPHELIA...AT 26.2N 63.1W AT 11PM EDT...WILL TRACK N BETWEEN 62W-63W WITH ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS SHIFTING N OF AREA LATE TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY MOVING OFF THE SE GA COAST...WILL OVERRUN THE REMNANTS OF A FRONT CURRENTLY ALONG THE CENTRAL FL E COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE MERGED BOUNDARY WILL STALL FROM BERMUDA TO WINDWARD PASSAGE LATE SUN. TROPICAL CYCLONE PHILIPPE WILL TRACK W REACHING NEAR 28N60W LATE TUE... THEN TURN ABRUPTLY N TRACKING ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL TROUGH. WARNINGS... GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. CARIBBEAN SEA... .NONE. TROPICAL N ATLC... .NONE. SW N ATLC... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON