000 AGXX40 KNHC 300645 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SOUTHERN EXTENT OF COLD FRONT S OF FLORIDA HAS LARGELY DISSIPATED AS E TO SE RETURN FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS LIGHT TO MODERATE E WINDS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF...AND SURFACE OBS INDICATE MODERATE TO FRESH E-SE WINDS IN THE WESTERN GULF. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 3-5 FT ACROSS THE GULF. EXPECT VERY LITTLE CHANGE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH PRES WILL SLOWLY SHIFT E ALONG 30N ALLOWING PROLONGED PERIOD OF E-SE WINDS TO PREVAIL OVER THE REGION WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE NW GULF. LOW PRES TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT OVER TEXAS WILL INTENSIFY SUN NIGHT AND MON...INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT W OF 90W. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE TEXAS COAST MON...THEN EXTEND FROM LOUISIANA TO NEAR TAMPICO MEXICO MON NIGHT...AND FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE. N-NE WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT NW OF THE FRONT. SW N ATLC... WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N73W TO MIAMI FLORIDA. SAT IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE ACTIVE CONVECTION E OF THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FRONT IN THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SCATTEROMETER AND SURFACE OBS INDICATE A SHARP DECREASE IN WIND SPEED NEAR THE FRONT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...AN INDICATION THE FRONT IS RAPIDLY LOSING ITS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT S OF 30N. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD E ALONG 30N MON THROUGH TUE AND ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SE U.S. COAST WED AFTERNOON WITH SW WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20 KT IN NW PORTION OF THE AREA. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HIGH PRES SHIFTING NE OF THE AREA AND LOWER PRES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT PASSING N OF THE CARIBBEAN IS ACTING TO DIMINISH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. SEAS ARE GENERALLY 5-7 FT IN THE E CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT IN THE W CARIBBEAN...AND 6-7 FT IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC. VERY LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. HIGH PRES BUILDING N OF THE AREA WILL CREATE 20 KT WINDS IN THE ATLC PASSAGES AND NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE WHILE ELY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT E OF 75W TUE AND WED. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL