000 AGXX40 KNHC 171822 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EDT SUN APR 17 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. SOUTHWEST N ATLC W OF 55W... WEAK COLD FRONT FROM 31N75W TO 26N80W QUICKLY STALLS FROM 31N72W TO 24N80W TONIGHT AND BECOMES DIFFUSE BY MON. HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS IN ITS WAKE AND REMAINS IN PLACE BLOCKED BY DEEP LAYER TROUGH TO ITS E AND LOWER PRES ACROSS CENTRAL PLAINS. DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 55W DRIFT NW BRINGING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 23N FROM 53W-57W TONIGHT THEN DIMINISHING MON TO STRONG E BREEZE. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH SLOW NW DRIFT ALTHOUGH WITH MINOR DIFFERENCES IN POSITIONS. ECMWF IS ONLY ONE TAKING TROUGH W OF 65W BY THU WHILE MOST OTHERS DISSIPATE IT BEFORE THEN. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W... LIGHT TO MODERATE BREEZE ACROSS ENTIRE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH MON AS CENTRAL ATLC HIGH PRES RIDGE ARE DISTURBED BY PERSISTENT DEEP LAYER TROUGH ALONG 55W. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON TAKING TROUGH NW WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE NE BREEZE AND 8 FT SEAS AFFECTING TROPICAL ATLC N OF 18N. GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK COLD FRONT OVER EXTREME SE GULF THIS AFTERNOON MOVE OUT OF BASIN TONIGHT. HIGH PRES 1020 MB BEHIND FRONT BUILD OVER NE GULF PROMPT MODERATE E TO SE FLOW ACROSS ENTIRE AREA THROUGH MON NIGHT. DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER MEXICO TIGHTENS GRADIENT TUE AND INCREASE WINDS W OF 90W TO A STRONG BREEZE THROUGH THU. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES