000 AGXX40 KNHC 170716 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM FLORIDA TO TEXAS. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THIS WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODERATE E TO SE TRADES WITH A SLY RETURN FLOW PATTERN W OF 95W WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH MON. IN THIS CONSTANT FLOW PATTERN SEAS WILL REACH A STEADY STATE CONSISTENT WITH LOCALLY GENERATED WIND WAVES AND AN UPSTREAM SWELL. AS A RESULT SEAS WILL VARY BY ONLY A FOOT OR SO FROM CURRENT CONDITIONS THE NEXT 3-5 DAYS. SW N ATLC W OF 65W... A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED E OF THE FORECAST AREA AND HIGH PRES IS BUILDING FROM THE N. THIS IS ENHANCING MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 30N PERSISTS THROUGH SAT. A COLD FRONT WILL BRUSH THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT... WITH NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT SUN...FOLLOWED BY LIGHT WINDS THROUGH MON MORNING AS HIGH PRES MOVES INTO THE AREA. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC... HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 30N COMBINED WITH LOW PRES IN COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL ALLOW MODERATE TO FRESH NE TO E TRADE WINDS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC. EXPECT VERY LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO CURRENT WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS THROUGH SUN MORNING DUE TO STATIC PATTERN. HOWEVER EXPECT TO SEE SOME SURGES IN NE TRADES THROUGH ATLC PASSAGES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO AROUND 20 KT AND WINDS 20-25 KT AT TIMES NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH SUN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE MON AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER NE PORTION OF SW N ATLC. WARNINGS.. ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL