000
AGXX40 KNHC 310725
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
330 AM EDT SUN OCT 31 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE SE U.S. AND ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW WILL 
PREVAIL OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH MON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY TUE MORNING WITH STRONG TO NEAR GALE N 
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE LOUISIANA 
COAST TO TAMPICO MEXICO TUE AND FROM THE SE COAST OF LOUISIANA 
TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WED. GFS GLOBAL MODEL INDICATES A LOW 
WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT TUE NIGHT AND A REINFORCING PUSH OF 
COLD AIR WILL RESULT IN LONG DURATION STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS 
PERSISTING OVER THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH THU NIGHT.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
HURRICANE TOMAS CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AFTER PASSING THROUGH THE 
WINDWARD ISLANDS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 80 KT GUSTING TO 100 KT. 
TOMAS WILL BE NEAR 14.0N 63.8W LATER THIS MORNING...14.6N 65.9W 
SUN NIGHT...14.9N 68.0W MON MORNING...15.0N 69.7W MON NIGHT... 
15.0N 72.5W TUE NIGHT...15.5N 74.0W WED NIGHT...AND NEAR 16.0N 
74.5W THU NIGHT. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS GREATER THAN 20 FT CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN 150 NM OF THE 
CENTER OF TOMAS AS IT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE EASTERN AND 
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. 

SW N ATLC...
A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 30N59W TO NEAR 27N73W. 
THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE AS HIGH PRESSURE 
BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN 
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA INCLUDING THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE THROUGH THU AS HURCN TOMAS MOVES THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN.

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
.HURRICANE WARNING FROM 11N TO 16N W OF 58W...AMZ087.

CARIBBEAN...
.HURRICANE WARNING FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 72W...AMZ086.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL