000 AGXX40 KNHC 290739 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 330 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS JUST S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA WITH A TROUGH SW TO NEAR 27N97W. BUOY REPORTS N OF 27N AND E OF THE TROUGH TO 87W CONTINUE TO SHOW E-SE WINDS OF 15-20 KT. AN ASCAT PASS FROM 0320 UTC LAST NIGHT ALSO CONFIRMED THESE WINDS. WINDS W OF THE TROUGH ARE RATHER LIGHT...NOW HAVING VEERED AROUND TO THE E-SE AT 10 KT. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE THIS MORNING...AS THE TROUGH SLOWLY MOVES NW TO JUST INLAND THE TEXAS COAST EARLY TONIGHT. HIGH PRES FROM THE U.S. EAST COAST BUILDING SW ACROSS THE NE PORTION WILL EVENTUALLY BUILD ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN MIDDLE GULF MON NIGHT THROUGH THU WITH THE INDUCED PRES GRADIENT ALLOWING FOR E WINDS TO INCREASE TO 15-20 KT...WITH SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 5-6 FT PER LATEST WAVEWATCH GUIDANCE. SW N ATLC... WITH HURRICANE DANIELLE NOW MOVING FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA REGION WITH A POSITION OF 31.5N 58.8W AT 0300 UTC. LINGERING AFFECTS ON THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN AS LARGE N SWELLS PROPAGATING THROUGH THE FAR NE AND E PORTIONS THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE MIXING IN WITH ADDITIONAL SWELLS GENERATED BY TROPICAL STORM EARL CURRENTLY SE OF THE AREA. BUOY 41049 NEAR 27N63W IS PRESENTLY REPORTING COMBINED SEAS OF 13 FT IN A N SWELL. THE SWELLS ARE THEN FORECAST TO SPREAD W TOWARDS THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUE. IN THE MEANTIME...HIGH PRES FROM THE ATLC EASTERN SEABOARD HAS BEGUN TO BUILD SOUTHWARD OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN WATERS WITH A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ALREADY EVIDENT OVER A PORTION OF THE NW WATERS WHERE NE TO E 20 KT WINDS WERE SHOWN IN AN ASCAT PASS FROM NEAR 0140 UTC LAST NIGHT. THE NEXT TROPICAL SYSTEM FORECAST TO IMPACT THE AREA IS TROPICAL STORM EARL CURRENTLY NEAR 16.6N 55.4W PER LATEST NHC ADVISORY ISSUED AT 0300 UTC LAST NIGHT. EARL IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE FAR SE CORNER OF THE BASIN LATE MON AS A HURRICANE WITH SIMILAR WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS TO DANIELLE. LONG PERIOD E AND SE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE INTO THE FAR SE PORTION EARLY ON MON IN ADVANCE OF EARL. EARL IS FORECAST TO TRACK NW ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THU...AND SHOULD APPROACH THE BAHAMAS BEFORE TURNING N LATE WED INTO THU AS IT INTENSIFIES. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... WEAK PRES DUE TO LACK OF PRONOUNCED ATLC RIDGING TO THE N WILL ALLOW FOR GENERALLY WEAK TRADES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GULF OF HONDURAS AND VICINITY WHERE E 20 KT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE MON OR EARLY TUE. TROPICAL STORM EARL CURRENTLY JUST CROSSING INTO THE FAR EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC NEAR NEAR 16.6N 55.4W AT 0300 UTC IS MOVING WNW AT 17 KT. ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...EARL IS FORECAST TO TRACK NW THROUGH THE W AND NW PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC AS AS A MINIMAL HURRICANE THROUGH EARLY TUE WITH WINDS AND SEA CONDITIONS DETERIORATING. ANOTHER SYSTEM...CURRENTLY WELL E OF AREA...IS FORECAST TO CROSS 55W ON TUE AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .AMZ080...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 20N E OF 69W MON...AND N OF 23N E OF 74W TUE THROUGH EARLY THU... .AMZ087...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 17N THROUGH MON NIGHT... .AMZ087...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 21N W OF 63W EARLY TUE... CARIBBEAN... .NONE GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE