000 AGXX40 KNHC 110809 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 410 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE AT 26.4N84.5W PACKING WINDS TO 30 GUST TO 40 KT EXPECTED TO DRIFT NW INTO MID GULF TODAY AND INTENSIFY OVER N CENTRAL GULF NEAR LOUISIANA COAST LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE INLAND OVER LOUISIANA THU. ALTHOUGH SYSTEM LACKS MUCH OF NEEDED CONVECTION...ITS PACE HAS SLOWED DOWN AND WITH FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE BEFORE LANDFALL THU. STRONGER WINDS REMAIN MAINLY IN NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND AT A SLOWER MOVEMENT MAY DEVELOP ENOUGH FETCH TO BUILD SEAS WELL ABOVE MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH REMAINS UNCOMFORTABLY LOW AT THIS TIME. RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR THE COAST COULD ALSO BE AN ISSUE AS SYSTEM SLOWS DOWN ITS NW PACE. WINDS AND SEAS RAPIDLY DECREASE AS SYSTEM MOVES INLAND. ELSEWHERE MOSTLY LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE ACROSS REMAINDER OF GULF. SW N ATLC... ATLC SURFACE RIDGE ALONG 30N MAINTAIN E-SE MODERATE BREEZE S OF 25N E OF 75W THROUGH WED. RIDGE DRIFTS S AND WEAKENS WITH MODERATE SE BREEZE S OF 27N AND LIGHT S-SW BREEZE N OF 27N THU THROUGH SAT. RIDGE SHIFTS S TO AROUND 26N SUN AS WEAK FRONT/ TROUGH STALLS JUST N OF 31N...WITH W-SW WINDS INCREASING TO FRESH BREEZE OVER FAR NE PORTION OF AREA. CARIBBEAN SEA... TWO TROPICAL WAVES CROSS CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONES THROUGH NEXT FIVE DAYS. NEVERTHELESS NEITHER ONE CARRIES SIGNIFICANT STRENGTH TO STIR THE WINDS OR SEAS FROM THEIR LETHARGIC CONDITION. ONLY SECOND WAVE MAY HAVE MINOR IMPACT NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA TO INCREASE WINDS TO A MODERATE ELY BREEZE SAT AND SUN. WARNINGS... SW N ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ084...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 27N FROM 86W TO 90W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES