000 AGXX40 KNHC 270610 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN JUN 27 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO WEAK RIDGE ALONG 30N IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE FAR NE GULF THROUGH MON. TROPICAL STORM ALEX INLAND OVER BELIZE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SW GULF OF MEXICO AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS EVENING THEN INCREASE ONCE AGAIN INTO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.4N92.6W MON. ALEX IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE NEAR 22.0N96.0W TUE EVENING. OTHERWISE WITH T.S. ALEX TO THE S AND ATLC RIDGE TO THE N TIGHT PRES GRADIENT OVER THE OVER THE S CENTRAL GULF WITH WINDS TO 25 KT. ATLC HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG 31N THROUGH MON. MEANWHILE E-SE WINDS OF 20 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WATERS S-SW OF THE BAHAMAS/NORTH OF CUBA AND THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THROUGH MON DUE TO THE TIGHTENED GRADIENT BETWEEN T.S. ALEX THE THE RIDGE. TROUGH WILL ENTER THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA LATER TODAY THEN WILL LINGER E OF 70W THROUGH TUE THEN DISSIPATE LATE EARLY WED. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE NW PORTION LATE TUE THROUGH WED AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE SE U.S. COAST. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA N OF 31N THU. THE FRONT WILL ALSO NUDGE THE RIDGE TO THE S AND E TUE THROUGH THU. TROPICAL STORM ALEX NEAR 17.7N 88.4W 997 MB AT 0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 10 KT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ALEX WILL MOVE WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND TODAY...HOWEVER STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY THU. TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WILL MOVE NW OF THE AREA BY EARLY MON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL PERSIST NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS ALONG WITH 20 KT WINDS. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 22N E OF 94W...GMZ082. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER DGS