000 AGXX40 KNHC 140643 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 245 AM EDT MON JUN 14 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... 1018 MB HIGH PRES REMAINS CENTERED NEAR 28N87W HOWEVER THE PRES GRADIENT HAS RELAXED COMPARED TO EARLIER TODAY ALLOWING FOR SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW TO DIMINISH TO 10-15 KT OVER THE W GULF WATERS. A WEAK TROUGH HAS MOVED W INTO THE FAR E GULF WATERS OFF THE COAST OF FLORIDA AND WILL DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MEANWHILE ANOTHER TROUGH IS MOVING SE OVER GEORGIA/ ALABAMA AND WILL CLIP THE FAR NE GULF WATERS LATER THIS MORNING THEN WILL STALL OUT THROUGH THE EVENING. ATLC RIDGING WILL THEN BUILD W ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS BETWEEN 27N-29N THROUGH WED. ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL DIP S OVER THE NE WATERS RESULTING IN THE REDEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK HIGH CENTER OVER THE N CENTRAL WATERS THU AND FRI WITH RIDGING EXTENDING SE TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. DIURNALLY DRIVEN NE-E 15-20 KT WINDS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE YUCATAN COAST DURING THE EVENINGS TODAY THROUGH FRI. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 14N ALONG 82W-83W IS MOVING W AROUND 15 KT AND THIS MOTION WILL MOVE THE AXIS INLAND ALONG 86W OVER NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AN AREA OF 15-20 KT EASTERLY TRADES PERSISTS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND WILL EXPAND TO ACROSS THE BASIN LATE TUE THROUGH LATE THU AS ATLC RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA STRENGTHENS INCREASING THE PRES GRADIENT. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH 55W LATE THIS EVENING...THEN TO ALONG 60W-61W TUE EVENING...AND 66W BY WED EVENING. LOW PRES CURRENTLY WELL E OF 55W MAY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS (CONTINUE TO CARRY POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITH THIS LOW THROUGH 48 HOURS)...HOWEVER THEREAFTER IT APPEARS THAT THE LOW WILL ENCOUNTER STRONG SW-W UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC...AND EXPECT IT TO TROUGH OUT AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NW AND INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC BY WED EVENING. SW N ATLC... A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 27N55W TO 26N60W TO 25N68W IS IGNITING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION JUST OUT AHEAD OF IT. THE REMNANTS OF THIS TROUGH WILL SEPARATE ATLC RIDGING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING THEN WILL DISSIPATE ALLOWING FOR A GIANT RIDGE TO BECOME ESTABLISHED FROM THE CENTRAL N ATLC TO THE N CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E-SE THROUGH THE BERMUDA AREA TUE NIGHT INTO WED WHICH WILL DIVIDE THE ATLC RIDGE YET AGAIN. BY THU THE RIDGE WILL REBUILD WESTWARD AGAIN ALONG 27N WHERE IT WILL THEN REMAIN THROUGH FRI. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY