000 AGXX40 KNHC 131810 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 PM EDT SUN JUN 13 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... 1019 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 28N87W IS MAINTANING SE RETURN FLOW OF 15-20 KT TO SW OF LINE FROM 21N87W TO 29N95W...BUT EXPECT GRADIENT TO RELAX TONIGHT DIMINISHING WINDS TO 15 KT AROUND PERIPHERY OF HIGH. A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE SE OVER THE FAR NE GULF WATERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MON. ATLC RIDGING WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS BETWEEN 27N-29N THROUGH WED. ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL DIP S OVER THE NE WATERS RESULTING IN WEAK HIGH CENTER RE-DEVELOPING OVER THE N CENTRAL WATERS THU AND FRI AND RIDGING SE TO FL STRAITS. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 15N ALONG 81W IS MOVING W AROUND 15 KT AGAIN AND THIS MOTION WILL MOVE AXIS TO ALONG 86W NOON MON. LAST TROPICAL WAVE AMPLIFYIED N OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS...AND SEE CYCLONIC TURNING AS FAR N AS 18N ATTM...SO EXPECT SOME WAVE EFFECTS TO MOVE THROUGH GULF HONDURAS THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT MON. AREA OF ELY 20 KT WINDS FROM 11-17N BETWEEN 67W-82W WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MODEL RUNS FLUCTUATING SLIGHTLY ON N-S AND E-W EXTENT. A TROUGH IS S OF 11N ALONG 60W AND WILL MOVE W AND INLAND OVER S AMERICA THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE IS S OF 15N ALONG 45W AND BASED ON ITS MOTION OF 15 KT DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS THE WAVE AXIS SHOULD MOVE TO ALONG 55W AROUND SUNRISE THU. BROAD LOW PRES S CENTRAL ATLC HAS ITS DEVELOPMENT PROBILITY SET AT 50 PERCENT...THUS POSSIBLE CYCLONE FORMATION ADDED TO GRAPHICS AND TEXT PRODUCTS THROUGH 48 HRS. SW N ATLC... A FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 27N55W TO 26N72W AND IS STILL IGNITING ISOLATED CONVECTION. REMNANTS OF THIS TROUGH E OF 60W WILL SEPERATE ATLC RIDGING THROUGH EARLY MON THEN TROUGH DISSIPATES ALLOWING A GIANT RIDGE FROM THE CENTRAL ATLC TO THE N CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO ON TUE. THEN A SECOND FRONT MOVES THROUGH BERMUDA TUE NIGHT INTO WED AND DIVIDES THE ATLC RIDGE AGAIN. BY THU THE RIDGE BUILDS W AGAIN ALONG 27N CONTINUING INTO FRI. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON