000 AGXX40 KNHC 020755 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 355 AM EDT WED JUN 02 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... WEAK SURFACE TROUGH NEAR WESTERN COAST OF YUCATAN PENINSULA... POSSIBLE REMNANTS OF AGATHA...HAS BEEN LOSING ITS CONVECTION AS ATLC RIDGE ENCROACHES FURTHER W INTO GULF OF MEXICO. ITS MAIN EFFECT WOULD BE A FRESH NE BREEZE ON BAY OF CAMPECHE E COAST. FEATURE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRI. MOSTLY GENTLE TO MODERATE SE WINDS ACROSS REMAINDER OF GULF WITH SLIGHT SEAS EXPECTED THROUGH PERIOD. POSSIBLE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WHICH GFS SPINS INTO STRONG VORTICITY MAXIMUM AND DRIVES IT QUICKLY NE ACROSS NW CORNER OF GULF INTO LOUISIANA THU NIGHT...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS. ALL OTHER GUIDANCE IGNORE SUCH DRASTIC SOLUTION BUT MAINTAIN FRESH S TO SE RETURN BREEZE W OF 95W. FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THIS LATTER SOLUTION. CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC... SOME RAPIDLY WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION STILL LINGER W OF 85W FROM THE WEAK TROUGH...POSSIBLE REMNANTS OF AGATHA...OVER YUCATAN PENINSULA. MAINLY EASTERLY MODERATE BREEZE WITH 4-5 FT SEAS PREVAIL OVER MOST OF BASIN WHILE WEAK TROPICAL WAVE S OF 12N ALONG 67W EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN GRADIENT ENOUGH TO WARRANT FRESH BREEZE ALONG ITS AXIS AND 6-8 FT SEAS...SPECIALLY NEAR COAST OF COLOMBIA...LATE IN FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC... WEAK PERSISTING SURFACE TROUGH EXTEND FROM 20N60W TO 20N65W DISSIPATE TODAY AS ATLC RIDGE STRENGTHENS ALONG 30N. STRONG NE BREEZE N OF TROUGH EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THROUGH FRI AND SHIFT TO A FRESH E TO SE BREEZE BY SAT AND SUN. SW N ATLC... WEAK STATIONARY SURFACE TROUGH OVER EXTREME SE PART DISSIPATE TODAY WHILE ATLC RIDGE BUILDS ALONG 30N BRINGING GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE TO MOST OF BASIN AND SLIGHT SEAS. RIDGE PERSIST THROUGH LATE SAT WHEN IS FORCED OUT BY WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO EXTREME NW CORNER OF SW N ATLC BRINGING STRONG SW BREEZE N OF 28N. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES